MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81edd9608d270848e4c572d240ffa38419e020b4075c1f529e91bf650f1e2bf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Brewers | 47c | 85,000$39,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,050 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 53c | 30,611$16,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,273.83 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.98 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 53c | 18,974$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,049.71 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Brewers | 48c | 18,001$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,360.28 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 13c | 17,875$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.34 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Mariners | 53c | 15,780$8,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,363.14 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Mariners | 59c | 12,305$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Brewers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.98 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mariners | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 47c | 7,308$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mariners | 53c | 5,671$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 53c | 5,565$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.66 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners | 3c | 4,863$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mariners | 56c | 4,182$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.58 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 63c | 3,995$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.91 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mariners | 52c | 3,800$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 19c | 3,689$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 53c | 3,090$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.87 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Brewers | 42c | 2,729$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.16 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Brewers | 47c | 2,664$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.34 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Mariners | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.99 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners | 52c | 2,384$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.8 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mariners | 1c | 2,299$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 5c | 2,137$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Mariners | 54c | 2,130$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Mariners | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 1c | 1,711$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 52c | 1,659$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.67 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 54c | 1,526$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.04 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 65c | 1,500$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Mariners | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mariners | 1c | 1,425$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Brewers | 40c | 1,309$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.1 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 52c | 1,160$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Brewers | 48c | 1,044$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.75 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mariners | 3c | 1,015$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Brewers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mariners | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 52c | 907.73$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Brewers | 48c | 840.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.54 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…786abacked Mariners | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 53c | 742.76$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.66 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Brewers | 47c | 713.53$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.17 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Mariners | 27c | 696.73$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Brewers | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Brewers | 47c | 577$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.81 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Brewers | 54c | 525.17$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Brewers | 45c | 523.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.6 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Mariners | 53c | 469$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Mariners | 12c | 453.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 53c | 417.97$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Brewers | 42c | 416.36$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.49 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 53c | 406.25$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.31 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mariners | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Mariners | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Mariners | 53c | 378.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…f0bbbacked Brewers | 47c | 360$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Mariners | 52c | 349.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Mariners | 7c | 330$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…d13fbacked Mariners | 4c | 327.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 53c | 296$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mariners | 51c | 294.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Brewers | 45c | 256.91$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Mariners | 55c | 233.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Brewers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 52c | 192.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Brewers | 44c | 182.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 54c | 174.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Brewers | 48c | 142.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Brewers | 46c | 129.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Brewers | 49c | 124.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Brewers | 48c | 124.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Mariners | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Brewers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Brewers | 47c | 105.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Brewers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Mariners | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Mariners | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Brewers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Mariners | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.