La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb9114198e9e5b669b1fc5c1b46c84887bd5ba76c6a6efa1584dc5a80b3e8027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 64c | 4,048$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.3 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,132$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Yes | 46c | 1,084$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 62c | 821$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.26 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 59c | 744.93$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.84 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 41c | 699.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 695.48$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.7 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 44c | 680.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 58c | 568.27$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.67 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 9c | 567.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 43c | 564.1$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.73 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 47c | 553.28$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 57c | 480.85$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.96 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 35c | 322.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 59c | 285.04$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 29c | 275$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7355backed Yes | 43c | 186.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 19c | 181.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 13c | 149.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 40c | 147.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 39c | 130.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 61c | 122.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 47c | 105.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…924cbacked Yes | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…637ebacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 57c | 95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 89.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 46c | 65.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 57c | 64.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 44c | 63.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 42c | 61.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…b00bbacked Yes | 48c | 52.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed No | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 36c | 42.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…663ebacked Yes | 33c | 39.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 42c | 37.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 73c | 33.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…2d55backed Yes | 47c | 21.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-08-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.