La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba4722d7d263694e323dd89535bec43dea488893ce33fcb9549ccc04ce8fbc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 42c | 3,142$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.04 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 25c | 2,070$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.77 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 802.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.76 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 408.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 73c | 338.31$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 29c | 294.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 66c | 284.77$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 275$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 59c | 269.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 56c | 177.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 49c | 112.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 35c | 101.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed No | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Yes | 55c | 83.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Yes | 77c | 75.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 72c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 49c | 46.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…b7f0backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 20.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…de3abacked No | 73c | 19.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.