MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d3aa94ee644c4fb64cd6771daff642d0d4b83ff9f0d5cd27b65ab10230090b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Angels, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $467,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 542 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Angels | 51c | 167,005$84,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,027.94 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 49c | 88,642$43,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,287.32 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 49c | 59,901$29,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,538.9 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Angels | 57c | 35,589$20,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,133.51 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 43c | 29,183$12,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,590.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Angels | 54c | 18,379$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,379.05 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Athletics | 45c | 16,186$7,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,252.39 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 45c | 16,165$7,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,260.29 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Athletics | 27c | 5,750$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.15 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 46c | 5,600$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Athletics | 51c | 5,377$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.58 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Athletics | 48c | 4,748$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.73 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Angels | 78c | 4,250$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.16 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Athletics | 50c | 3,700$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Athletics | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Angels | 50c | 3,350$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Athletics | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Angels | 51c | 3,175$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.86 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Angels | 22c | 2,653$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.55 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,649$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Athletics | 46c | 2,190$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics | 42c | 2,045$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.58 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…b7eabacked Angels | 54c | 1,856$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Athletics | 47c | 1,740$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.37 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Athletics | 74c | 1,699$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.86 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics | 48c | 1,667$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.44 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Angels | 30c | 1,536$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.92 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Angels | 56c | 1,535$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.03 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Angels | 48c | 1,460$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.79 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Athletics | 78c | 1,430$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.24 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Angels | 43c | 1,368$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.09 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Angels | 53c | 1,189$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.68 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 50c | 969.49$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.75 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Athletics | 50c | 960.64$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.32 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Athletics | 31c | 936.79$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 36c | 834.67$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Athletics | 25c | 780.7$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Angels | 52c | 772.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.71 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Angels | 65c | 699$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.65 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Angels | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Angels | 49c | 565.85$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.16 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Athletics | 53c | 564.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Athletics | 35c | 564.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Angels | 75c | 521$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Athletics | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Athletics | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 43c | 466.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 48c | 449.12$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.58 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Athletics | 48c | 439.3$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Athletics | 45c | 418.23$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Angels | 79c | 414.52$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Athletics | 36c | 406.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Athletics | 49c | 404.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Angels | 51c | 393.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Angels | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics | 48c | 372.62$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.41 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Athletics | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…af17backed Athletics | 53c | 356.92$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Angels | 32c | 350.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Angels | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Athletics | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Athletics | 47c | 320.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels | 47c | 314.6$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Athletics | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Athletics | 51c | 293.39$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…77c4backed Athletics | 79c | 286.81$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 51c | 268.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…b34ebacked Athletics | 38c | 265.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Athletics | 50c | 259.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Athletics | 53c | 254.51$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Angels | 52c | 238.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Angels | 50c | 229.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Athletics | 54c | 225.26$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Angels | 47c | 207.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 49c | 205.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Angels | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…daa5backed Athletics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Athletics | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.