NFL · resolved market
Giants vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35d46ca2d4328687f438ffb67c6cfa4fa46e3b2f3d317f9bbef04f3463426a1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giants of Giants , Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Bills | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.96 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Giants | 59c | 14,147$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,827.07 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Giants | 44c | 13,909$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,798.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Bills | 60c | 10,976$6,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,606 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bills | 56c | 10,137$5,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,725.64 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Bills | 61c | 6,589$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Giants | 54c | 6,150$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.5 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70c…0dccbacked Giants | 44c | 5,400$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Giants | 43c | 5,350$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…763dbacked Bills | 57c | 5,264$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Giants | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…7a06backed Bills | 57c | 4,738$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…3718backed Giants | 43c | 4,650$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 53c | 4,640$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.93 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 42c | 4,300$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.75 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Giants | 43c | 3,081$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.17 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Giants | 75c | 2,865$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Giants | 43c | 2,650$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Bills | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Bills | 58c | 2,422$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.99 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Giants | 59c | 2,189$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Giants | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 53c | 1,997$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.31 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…fe56backed Giants | 44c | 1,959$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Giants | 44c | 1,600$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Giants | 43c | 1,495$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Giants | 50c | 1,482$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.97 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Giants | 41c | 1,346$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.24 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 41c | 1,281$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.9 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…844dbacked Bills | 61c | 1,153$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Giants | 57c | 1,081$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.43 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bills | 2c | 936$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bills | 51c | 870.69$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bills | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Giants | 70c | 768.68$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Giants | 67c | 752.36$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Bills | 27c | 740.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bills | 58c | 679.73$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.69 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Giants | 50c | 659$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Giants | 52c | 613$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bills | 28c | 531.58$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 40c | 487.15$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.8 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed Bills | 59c | 440.68$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…0f1bbacked Bills | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Giants | 43c | 428.02$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…b496backed Bills | 45c | 410.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2ad5backed Giants | 44c | 404.55$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Bills | 57c | 384.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bills | 56c | 384.04$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…c91fbacked Bills | 51c | 351.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Giants | 43c | 350.78$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.43 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…029ebacked Bills | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Bills | 57c | 326.5$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bills | 45c | 316.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…a3cebacked Giants | 63c | 315.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Giants | 75c | 305$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Giants | 44c | 301.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Giants | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bills | 42c | 299.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Giants | 59c | 297.34$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Giants | 72c | 267.59$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Giants | 75c | 267.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Giants | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Giants | 41c | 260.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +522.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Bills | 59c | 259$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…6155backed Bills | 58c | 253.41$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Bills | 45c | 250.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Giants | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bills | 58c | 248$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.84 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Bills | 60c | 240.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 42c | 235.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 43c | 230.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Bills | 57c | 229.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…b248backed Bills | 61c | 226.34$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…61b1backed Bills | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…b00bbacked Bills | 60c | 216.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Giants | 40c | 213.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bills | 34c | 203.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Giants | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Giants | 52c | 190.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…0caabacked Bills | 55c | 187.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…4257backed Bills | 58c | 175.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Bills | 57c | 174.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Giants | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5414…e06ebacked Bills | 58c | 165$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Bills | 59c | 157.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Giants | 43c | 149.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Giants | 42c | 146.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Bills | 58c | 141.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Giants | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Giants | 75c | 133.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Bills | 59c | 129.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bills | 58c | 128.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…5a9ebacked Giants | 44c | 123.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Giants | 42c | 121.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Giants | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 40c | 115.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.