MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2186f7ba0675a873c63894c02ef767a2a0a9247bf694a15fee942f7743c96c8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Mets, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Nationals | 40c | 75,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 58c | 44,877$25,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,815.75 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mets | 61c | 25,095$15,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,276.6 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Nationals | 39c | 21,614$8,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,184.49 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mets | 61c | 20,004$12,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,202.44 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mets | 60c | 7,690$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640.43 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Mets | 60c | 5,569$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.79 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Nationals | 39c | 5,031$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.9 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Mets | 60c | 3,633$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.68 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Mets | 61c | 3,621$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.81 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 7c | 3,310$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.65 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mets | 60c | 2,542$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.2 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Mets | 61c | 2,200$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Mets | 62c | 2,105$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 42c | 1,906$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 71c | 1,706$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nationals | 39c | 1,705$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Mets | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Nationals | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 39c | 1,689$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mets | 11c | 1,665$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.31 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mets | 56c | 1,506$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.47 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 38c | 1,470$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.45 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 39c | 1,351$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.32 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mets | 60c | 1,337$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.2 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mets | 35c | 1,207$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…89e4backed Nationals | 38c | 1,184$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +84%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Mets | 61c | 1,179$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.29 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…949abacked Mets | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…689fbacked Mets | 62c | 1,121$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…cf0dbacked Nationals | 38c | 1,066$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Mets | 12c | 991.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 61c | 944.89$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.94 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 37c | 899.65$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.39 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 38c | 837.06$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.13 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Nationals | 40c | 810$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 39c | 769$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.09 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mets | 12c | 768.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Mets | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mets | 43c | 702.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mets | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.93 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 30c | 672.11$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.01 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets | 2c | 650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 60c | 621$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.86 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 55c | 593.31$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.31 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 34c | 582.57$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.49 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mets | 60c | 549.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.49 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Mets | 62c | 516.13$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Nationals | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 38c | 499.94$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.3 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 39c | 434.08$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.79 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mets | 62c | 427$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.47 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 20c | 424.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 38c | 399.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.95 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…5283backed Nationals | 40c | 398.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.79 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mets | 49c | 390$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mets | 57c | 387.24$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Nationals | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 56c | 361.29$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Nationals | 70c | 353.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Mets | 62c | 350$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Nationals | 61c | 340$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 62c | 324.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mets | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mets | 64c | 312.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mets | 5c | 289$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Mets | 55c | 272.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nationals | 39c | 255.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.15 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 63c | 255.56$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Mets | 61c | 252.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…5b83backed Mets | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nationals | 38c | 198.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 40c | 187$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 61c | 174$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…f218backed Nationals | 40c | 173.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Mets | 16c | 172.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 41c | 171.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Mets | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Mets | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Mets | 62c | 162.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Mets | 62c | 162$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Mets | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Mets | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Mets | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…79d2backed Mets | 60c | 153.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Mets | 14c | 145.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mets | 8c | 143$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…70b5backed Mets | 62c | 140.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 40c | 138.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…7d43backed Mets | 62c | 123.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mets | 62c | 117$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 40c | 116.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.