Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aberdeen win on 2025-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1593840e4f3e985e6967092b51c89a7b7e80b77667de9af1aca1bf6384e7cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 69c | 1,106$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.44 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 43c | 925.23$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 61c | 470.34$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…fe65backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 29c | 293.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a5…df10backed Yes | 38c | 167.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 17c | 146.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 37c | 108.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5d…3deabacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 94.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…b00bbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Yes | 34c | 32.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 36c | 27.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen win on 2025-08-21?this page
- Will Aberdeen vs. FCSB end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FCSB win on 2025-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.