Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aberdeen vs. FCSB end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80fa70baeebc81c5c0c9d53ce2aec58e2eb049a0d426d8167c24c843b533cc2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 61c | 3,040$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.24 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 30c | 2,239$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 30c | 1,829$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.07 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 466.65$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 70c | 335.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 196.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5d…3deabacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked No | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 62c | 20.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen vs. FCSB end in a draw?this page
- Will Aberdeen win on 2025-08-21?No won
- Will FCSB win on 2025-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.