MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd992de9625b0e60775cfc8f3f81d184e01c84089416d8a0a6dc8e2af533b1903
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof White Sox, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 69c | 12,178$8,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.43 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed White Sox | 36c | 7,292$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.88 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed White Sox | 10c | 5,150$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed White Sox | 31c | 5,123$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.12 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners | 68c | 5,000$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.35 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Mariners | 59c | 4,817$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.8 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox | 2c | 4,777$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 68c | 3,302$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Mariners | 69c | 3,245$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.95 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 62c | 2,459$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed White Sox | 32c | 2,204$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed White Sox | 32c | 1,788$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.14 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 68c | 1,547$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.12 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…e0aebacked Mariners | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed White Sox | 10c | 1,357$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners | 68c | 1,268$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.72 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox | 31c | 1,143$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.32 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 30c | 1,081$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.33 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked White Sox | 31c | 1,051$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed White Sox | 40c | 1,021$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.53 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mariners | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked White Sox | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed White Sox | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa3…99a2backed Mariners | 69c | 871.22$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked White Sox | 2c | 705.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed White Sox | 30c | 691.41$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked White Sox | 32c | 678.56$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox | 31c | 675.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.55 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox | 31c | 553.49$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox | 31c | 529$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed White Sox | 30c | 500.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 68c | 499.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked White Sox | 31c | 495.48$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed White Sox | 31c | 495.39$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.57 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Mariners | 57c | 461.4$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners | 58c | 450.4$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed White Sox | 30c | 450$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mariners | 69c | 435$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed White Sox | 31c | 422.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 32c | 406$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Mariners | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked White Sox | 32c | 373.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox | 44c | 360$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox | 11c | 355$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 68c | 318$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 65c | 309.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed White Sox | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed White Sox | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…7656backed White Sox | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Mariners | 69c | 291.46$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…931bbacked White Sox | 25c | 223.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 31c | 214.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed White Sox | 33c | 200.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed White Sox | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked White Sox | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…e817backed White Sox | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Mariners | 70c | 184.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Mariners | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Mariners | 70c | 171.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mariners | 68c | 155.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox | 30c | 152.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked White Sox | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed White Sox | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed White Sox | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mariners | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mariners | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Mariners | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Mariners | 75c | 132.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed White Sox | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed White Sox | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mariners | 57c | 123.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 70c | 117.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…97c8backed Mariners | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed White Sox | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 64c | 107.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked White Sox | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Mariners | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked White Sox | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed White Sox | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed White Sox | 31c | 99.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mariners | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Mariners | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed White Sox | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed White Sox | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…f89cbacked Mariners | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Mariners | 69c | 72.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed White Sox | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Mariners | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.