MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb88097b86d2aa34388faeaf605cda3fc7301b532dff88a73cec04c39414b6818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,832,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,872,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,832,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,217,075$588,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588,637.25 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 51c | 551,647$282,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268,850.56 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 200,252$96,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,018.37 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 51c | 188,673$97,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,533.59 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 52c | 165,000$85,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,200 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Padres | 53c | 95,000$49,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,050 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…761ebacked Padres | 52c | 72,182$37,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,667.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Padres | 64c | 53,169$34,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,882.38 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 52c | 50,050$25,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,251 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 52c | 44,958$23,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,405.11 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 52c | 42,500$22,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,433.65 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 51c | 41,931$21,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,406.25 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Padres | 80c | 36,113$28,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,335.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Padres | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Padres | 52c | 29,875$15,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,387.77 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 52c | 24,492$12,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,712.03 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 52c | 21,000$10,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Padres | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Padres | 43c | 16,756$7,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,561.76 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 52c | 16,000$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 15,111$7,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,253.28 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Padres | 52c | 12,302$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.86 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 52c | 11,197$5,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.52 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 10,828$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.58 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 10,614$4,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.37 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 9,499$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,624.8 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Padres | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Padres | 53c | 8,640$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,103.6 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 54c | 7,957$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Padres | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.07 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 47c | 7,040$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.26 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 5,838$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 53c | 5,650$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.5 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 5,315$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.75 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Padres | 55c | 5,270$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Diamondbacks | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 4,296$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.71 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Padres | 53c | 3,370$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Padres | 52c | 3,309$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.32 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 3,122$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,000$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.5 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 2,739$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.72 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Padres | 55c | 2,728$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.18 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,699$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.45 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 13c | 2,690$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 2,663$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.84 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Padres | 52c | 2,241$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.54 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Padres | 55c | 2,172$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.62 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 53c | 2,157$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Padres | 52c | 2,121$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 2,030$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres | 53c | 1,982$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.54 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Padres | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,905$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.2 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 46c | 1,549$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Padres | 54c | 1,512$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.13 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Padres | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 54c | 1,495$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.13 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Padres | 53c | 1,436$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.86 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 54c | 1,400$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Diamondbacks | 12c | 1,336$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,281$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.46 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 1,168$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.49 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,149$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.78 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,102$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.98 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Padres | 67c | 944.52$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.96 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Padres | 47c | 840$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 784.28$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.3 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 777$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Diamondbacks | 33c | 751.8$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.24 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…7656backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 736.05$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.65 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 721.74$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Padres | 47c | 673.08$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.43 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 670.78$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.74 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…931bbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 620$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Padres | 66c | 602.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.45 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Padres | 43c | 599.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…8945backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 547$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…c3dabacked Padres | 55c | 542$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Padres | 56c | 538.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…3203backed Padres | 55c | 538$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…0a9ebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 533$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Diamondbacks | 5c | 515$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 499.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Padres | 55c | 498.18$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Padres | 52c | 488.94$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.69 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 474.07$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.02 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Padres | 35c | 460.01$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.01 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 442.16$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.