TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Fever vs. Valkyries

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valkyriesof Fever, Valkyries
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2f8…56b6backed Fever20c5,432$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.883652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fever12c4,440$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.871,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valkyries77c3,901$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.567542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Fever16c3,610$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.927440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Fever35c3,014$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.7221440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Valkyries77c1,950$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.165154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Valkyries43c1,540$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.7813538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Valkyries66c1,312$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.8831847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Fever56c1,273$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.667162%44 W · 27 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Fever27c1,244$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Valkyries43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68413044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Fever56c1,170$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.219055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Fever25c1,003$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d9…b00bbacked Fever57c980.26$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Valkyries46c939.87$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.868633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Valkyries44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0911545.2%52 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Fever25c776.07$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1935221.2%11 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed Fever24c750$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+77.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fever54c709.87$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.337851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Fever21c604.7$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.43748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Fever56c603.66$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.497855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33612840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d3debacked Valkyries79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+119.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Fever56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3363458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Fever56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3366546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Valkyries78c500.58$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.631942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Fever57c488.29$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Valkyries78c412.03$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7815246.7%71 W · 81 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5284…4e87backed Valkyries75c400.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…66f0backed Fever58c336$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed Valkyries41c322$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Valkyries70c319.11$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Fever32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Valkyries80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Valkyries46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3121337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffc3…8fffbacked Fever13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03d2…7fb7backed Fever62c240.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2227232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Valkyries45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2217541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xded7…1ef1backed Fever42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.831764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Fever59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Fever56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Fever30c196.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Fever64c187.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.27520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-66.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdce3…79c7backed Fever32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Valkyries43c178$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.467240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ac…2c1abacked Fever57c175.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Valkyries43c166.92$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.921931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Valkyries46c162$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2811552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Valkyries72c154$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.126651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Valkyries70c140.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.031457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5e…3668backed Valkyries75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Fever59c108.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.981833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Valkyries45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5712833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0e…b61cbacked Valkyries72c87.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Fever58c86.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…5c6bbacked Valkyries56c84.68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.631060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b58…7273backed Valkyries46c82.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1337…2b45backed Valkyries62c71.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.352050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Valkyries44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.42740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df2…55d9backed Valkyries74c62.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Valkyries41c51.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.291947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad5b…0f0ebacked Valkyries45c50.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Valkyries43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Valkyries43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8389…db1bbacked Valkyries41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9d…9de8backed Valkyries41c48.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.73911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Valkyries42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8414136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Valkyries42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Fever59c37.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Valkyries44c36.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.716560%39 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Valkyries43c35.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.175048%24 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Valkyries41c33.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206631.8%21 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Fever43c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88219.5%2 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-68%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Fever57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.120642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Valkyries78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7512548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9355…eab4backed Fever57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e45…f17bbacked Fever57c23.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Valkyries76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+220.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…bbc3backed Fever57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9c…0f7ebacked Valkyries77c15.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.64580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd5c…1d65backed Valkyries77c13.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.181346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.