NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b3de975678608f82c0fc17c45a374cf63cb90164c65b2662c3939913d86806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $390,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Warriors | 21c | 47,732$10,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.45 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 7c | 16,170$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.1 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 22c | 14,978$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.32 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 38c | 11,309$4,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.35 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…341dbacked Mavericks | 57c | 10,021$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…3718backed Warriors | 43c | 10,002$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Warriors | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 41c | 4,984$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.3 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Warriors | 7c | 4,596$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.28 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…c1aebacked Mavericks | 75c | 3,782$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 4c | 3,013$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Warriors | 1c | 3,005$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…2609backed Mavericks | 77c | 2,708$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed Mavericks | 79c | 2,662$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.12 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mavericks | 71c | 2,503$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.48 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,444$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.55 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Warriors | 27c | 2,440$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.63 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Warriors | 21c | 2,438$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Mavericks | 69c | 2,057$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 57c | 2,020$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.57 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Mavericks | 73c | 1,927$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.9 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Mavericks | 71c | 1,855$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.62 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 18c | 1,695$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.39 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Warriors | 16c | 1,677$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.02 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 55c | 1,616$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Warriors | 52c | 1,549$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.47 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Warriors | 4c | 1,535$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Mavericks | 70c | 1,496$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.25 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Warriors | 29c | 1,102$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.43 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…c5f5backed Warriors | 38c | 1,059$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Warriors | 29c | 1,031$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.51 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,031$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.35 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Warriors | 10c | 1,012$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Mavericks | 76c | 1,001$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.31 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Warriors | 43c | 1,001$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.32 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 69c | 1,000$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…389dbacked Warriors | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Warriors | 51c | 915.52$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Mavericks | 67c | 800$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors | 48c | 714.91$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.16 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…c302backed Warriors | 29c | 690.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 20c | 664.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Warriors | 44c | 650.29$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…9bb7backed Warriors | 28c | 638.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Warriors | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Warriors | 43c | 602.33$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.7 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Mavericks | 66c | 600.28$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Mavericks | 77c | 599.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Warriors | 43c | 593.19$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.11 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Warriors | 50c | 568$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…e4babacked Mavericks | 70c | 563.68$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors | 6c | 549.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Mavericks | 55c | 545.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.58 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Mavericks | 68c | 541.91$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.71 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…ab49backed Warriors | 18c | 515.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…83bbbacked Warriors | 15c | 500.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Mavericks | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks | 54c | 500$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.67 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Warriors | 32c | 500$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Mavericks | 62c | 485.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.12 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 459.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Mavericks | 77c | 454.92$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Warriors | 53c | 440.62$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.71 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Mavericks | 58c | 434.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Mavericks | 51c | 432.16$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Warriors | 7c | 420$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Mavericks | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Mavericks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Mavericks | 52c | 384.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.02 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…76ccbacked Mavericks | 78c | 372.21$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Mavericks | 78c | 369.96$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a32…ae7bbacked Mavericks | 76c | 350$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Warriors | 5c | 349.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 340.45$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors | 52c | 335.12$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Warriors | 42c | 333.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 13c | 326.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Mavericks | 76c | 314.37$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks | 51c | 304.85$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c8…8079backed Mavericks | 59c | 301.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…e8ebbacked Mavericks | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Mavericks | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Mavericks | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Warriors | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Warriors | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Warriors | 13c | 292.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Warriors | 44c | 285.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Mavericks | 73c | 282.05$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Mavericks | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Warriors | 49c | 251$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Mavericks | 73c | 245.61$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6097…c40dbacked Warriors | 43c | 242.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Warriors | 25c | 239.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.