TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,845 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes67c20,088$13,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,666.6514156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No37c12,743$4,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.8240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed No33c8,456$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.482450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No38c8,160$3,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,097.5713547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c11…c7e6backed Yes64c7,647$4,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,773.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes62c5,574$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.261353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No37c5,299$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.4132037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc8…3900backed Yes62c3,882$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes65c3,730$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.413060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes42c3,461$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.0718433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Yes67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes22c2,344$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.8179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No35c2,050$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No36c2,043$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.0783459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Yes26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed No13c2,000$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.956023.3%14 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes67c1,791$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.0411548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes50c1,699$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.084052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No36c1,646$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.245650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes62c1,611$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.288155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No38c1,554$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.8937841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4611638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No38c1,500$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44416660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes60c1,040$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4169148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No34c1,025$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No40c1,024$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb5…4f10backed No6c868.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1360%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…b156backed No41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes63c555.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.564637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No23c554.27$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No12c552.58$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8452060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No35c507.17$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.542748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes66c397.42$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.125740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce62…73d5backed Yes25c395.49$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.155032%16 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes45c350$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1935633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes69c320.43$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.435259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9929653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No71c296.52$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5321353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes68c293$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.767241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes36c288.8$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.838825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes53c284.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9325637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes66c282.11$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.92875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+70.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No31c254.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4140135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No8c249.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed No7c243.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2812149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes53c227.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.862227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8235…b2d0backed Yes69c226.41$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ec…f068backed No34c223.48$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b15…0bf3backed No34c222.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No23c207.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5638645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a4…7d9fbacked Yes62c206.08$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6642755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes62c199.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7617447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Yes62c199.94$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.983953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Yes62c194.13$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.773151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eae…086dbacked No34c180.79$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x570e…1399backed No34c177.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1276…6d30backed Yes67c172.85$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.853253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d66…89c4backed Yes60c168.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No33c167.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No75c156.43$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3216851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed No38c147.05$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.883551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes58c145$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.59858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b62…593dbacked Yes57c134.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No38c131$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.787159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…352cbacked No34c122.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa854…e9e3backed Yes67c120.9$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.655635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed No75c105.31$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.677256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab71…6f34backed No39c102.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.12123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a90…3405backed Yes67c101.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+97.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4517146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No35c100.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6332822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe528…6385backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba3e…f062backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No32c99.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.993655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe756…c70cbacked Yes67c98.46$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.491346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb9…5a12backed No33c89.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.331040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d0…0ab7backed Yes67c85.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…da1abacked Yes68c83.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ac…f39abacked Yes68c77.66$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3075…08ddbacked Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4626054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13e…a34dbacked Yes67c70.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94938.8%19 W · 30 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes29c69.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.685726.3%15 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes69c67.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.092684.6%22 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e92…395abacked Yes66c66.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.683959%23 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…0d94backed Yes67c66.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+163.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes68c66.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.186556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab91…3cdcbacked Yes68c64.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.79366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.525036%18 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb760…2d02backed No32c64.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ede…5f10backed Yes67c63.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.