TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Titans vs. Colts

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Coltsof Titans, Colts
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4cc3…7552backed Titans35c25,134$8,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,797.0625137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Colts65c16,186$10,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,665.099259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Colts67c10,798$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.8812570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x214d…8911backed Titans0c10,331$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Titans42c8,816$3,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,732.2414349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Titans35c7,729$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.560049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Colts56c6,165$3,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.095650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Titans34c6,000$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.366752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Titans5c3,820$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1917823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Colts66c3,730$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.232857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…c614backed Titans35c3,546$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Titans1c3,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408218.3%15 W · 67 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Colts65c2,923$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.0819361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Colts64c2,344$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.424738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4616…0b03backed Colts66c2,172$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62de…9ea7backed Colts68c1,685$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8eb…c973backed Colts65c1,668$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Titans1c1,638$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2520634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Colts55c1,618$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.051770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Colts65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.465565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f9…3c97backed Titans36c1,528$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Titans36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb245…da75backed Titans36c1,186$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.81450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc68a…0e4abacked Colts65c1,037$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Titans32c1,025$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.3244246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Titans36c1,011$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.8616259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Colts65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Titans35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35024351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ee…68f3backed Titans36c980.56$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3531154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Colts55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.093167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Titans35c900$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3165550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Titans2c888$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.654311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Colts64c781.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.518921.3%19 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Colts65c767.69$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.691154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Titans40c721.08$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3522638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Titans21c675.32$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.823452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Colts73c651.99$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.561675%12 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fdb…8f3ebacked Titans35c620$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x179e…3496backed Colts65c619.98$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Titans33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19812144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc712…ebbebacked Titans35c566$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4385…6f1abacked Colts65c565.99$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb31…dc5cbacked Titans37c561.94$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.462360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2a41backed Titans35c555$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e5…6720backed Colts65c555$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Titans35c555$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7927339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79d4…9dafbacked Colts64c550.2$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.07785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Titans30c544.51$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1931854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c91…5a71backed Colts65c538$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1d…a9aebacked Titans35c538$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6084…79c6backed Colts62c500$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1898855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Colts64c499.97$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.993644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…695dbacked Colts65c490.02$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520b…d8aebacked Titans35c490$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6f…64debacked Colts65c487$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…bb0dbacked Titans35c487$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colts54c486.86$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5752828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c6…5a68backed Titans37c465.95$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Colts64c465.89$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.722466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39ae…0268backed Colts65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.543554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c9…e2ddbacked Titans35c460$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fe…9046backed Colts65c459.98$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Colts61c432.65$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.654669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Colts66c421.83$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4215252%79 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Colts65c410$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.57071.4%50 W · 20 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Titans36c400.15$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.058650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Colts56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1763080%24 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Colts50c380.91$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9729356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Titans35c369.55$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8210738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Colts68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.652857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Titans36c347.22$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12512249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Colts65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6910452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce10…902bbacked Colts66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.034665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Titans14c285.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110940.4%44 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11de…50aabacked Titans37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Titans32c254.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4410842.6%46 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Titans10c250.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0131848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Colts65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.517558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Colts65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7038459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Colts65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705275%39 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb3e…e974backed Colts65c191.69$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbc…d78bbacked Titans36c191.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+70.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe63f…500fbacked Colts65c187.69$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Colts67c182.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.082781.5%22 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Titans49c177.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6810345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…9912backed Colts60c167.39$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf9…1289backed Titans46c157.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Titans34c156.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.193240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Colts64c155.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.691668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be9…a23abacked Colts65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedd5…63a1backed Colts65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8515858.9%93 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2125…19b8backed Colts65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e39…5f93backed Colts65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Titans35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.54245.2%19 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dbe…1ff9backed Colts64c147.78$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.29100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f26…adacbacked Titans16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Titans37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x612a…3c9cbacked Colts65c108$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.83363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e7a…941abacked Titans47c106.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Colts52c104.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.111040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.