NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51fdf908692ac89ae6879c5b31195868aefffaca59ef553bf81e91a6b0019cdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Jaguars, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked Jaguars | 35c | 11,167$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.3 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…1717backed Jaguars | 39c | 10,071$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…ce83backed Colts | 61c | 10,024$6,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Colts | 64c | 7,592$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.68 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Jaguars | 36c | 7,462$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.87 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jaguars | 37c | 4,173$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.29 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Colts | 65c | 3,497$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.66 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Colts | 60c | 3,200$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Colts | 75c | 2,535$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.71 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Colts | 69c | 2,421$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.47 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Colts | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jaguars | 37c | 1,980$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.39 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Jaguars | 20c | 1,562$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.4 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Colts | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Jaguars | 29c | 1,193$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.01 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Jaguars | 32c | 1,031$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.31 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Jaguars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Colts | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Jaguars | 36c | 974.91$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.97 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Jaguars | 37c | 927.06$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.01 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jaguars | 32c | 900$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jaguars | 30c | 890.25$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.72 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Colts | 64c | 834.42$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Colts | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jaguars | 23c | 785.43$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Jaguars | 37c | 751.7$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.91 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Colts | 68c | 738.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Colts | 68c | 737.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.26 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jaguars | 33c | 678.31$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.05 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jaguars | 5c | 653.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Jaguars | 36c | 579.96$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Colts | 64c | 547.24$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jaguars | 37c | 540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Colts | 62c | 501.8$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Colts | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jaguars | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Colts | 71c | 490.79$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Colts | 61c | 461.29$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.29 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…86babacked Jaguars | 26c | 399.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Colts | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colts | 73c | 308.12$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Colts | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Colts | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Colts | 61c | 295$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Colts | 62c | 291$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colts | 63c | 288.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…661bbacked Colts | 74c | 268.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Jaguars | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Colts | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Colts | 60c | 212.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Colts | 64c | 200.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Colts | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Jaguars | 37c | 199.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…fba1backed Colts | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Jaguars | 6c | 182.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Colts | 73c | 180$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Colts | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Colts | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Colts | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Colts | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Colts | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a1dbacked Colts | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Colts | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…88d9backed Colts | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Jaguars | 40c | 141.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Colts | 60c | 137.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Jaguars | 40c | 134.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8c…b5afbacked Jaguars | 40c | 115.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fd…0d12backed Jaguars | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…9fd4backed Colts | 60c | 108.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Colts | 70c | 100.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Jaguars | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Jaguars | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Colts | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Jaguars | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Colts | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 241 | 60.6%146 W · 95 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Jaguars | 35c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…4441backed Colts | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Jaguars | 34c | 88.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Colts | 67c | 87.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Colts | 70c | 80.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…8444backed Colts | 64c | 78.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 93 | 69.9%65 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Colts | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…3ba4backed Colts | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9903backed Colts | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…8982backed Jaguars | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Colts | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…d732backed Jaguars | 32c | 64.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Jaguars | 33c | 63.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…2536backed Colts | 66c | 62.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…3ce8backed Colts | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Jaguars | 34c | 59.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…edd0backed Colts | 68c | 59.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Jaguars | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…93ddbacked Colts | 68c | 58.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Colts | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Colts | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…7ca9backed Colts | 67c | 54.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…81a4backed Colts | 68c | 53.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…32c7backed Colts | 68c | 52.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.