NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40960294fd0d6416655f24ee138a4bdae0426efe3fbbf7217c7d6395b560131b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Packers, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $936,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $937,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $936,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Seahawks | 8c | 164,349$13,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,851.12 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Seahawks | 2c | 116,060$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.57 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Seahawks | 41c | 90,418$37,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,071.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Seahawks | 13c | 50,339$6,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,431.7 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Seahawks | 2c | 34,891$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.73 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Seahawks | 41c | 32,850$13,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,461.93 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Packers | 59c | 30,021$17,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,311.09 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb296…07babacked Seahawks | 3c | 28,906$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Packers | 60c | 25,973$15,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,418.18 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Packers | 58c | 25,657$14,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,681.58 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Packers | 58c | 17,391$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.04 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Seahawks | 24c | 16,829$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Seahawks | 1c | 11,798$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.21 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Packers | 67c | 10,934$7,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.26 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Packers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…dc5ebacked Seahawks | 44c | 9,077$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…d704backed Seahawks | 44c | 7,573$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…1e1cbacked Seahawks | 44c | 7,557$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Seahawks | 42c | 7,400$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Seahawks | 1c | 7,280$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Seahawks | 6c | 7,185$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Seahawks | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.86 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Seahawks | 44c | 5,966$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.02 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Seahawks | 4c | 5,698$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.94 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Seahawks | 19c | 5,039$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.46 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Packers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.94 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Packers | 59c | 4,430$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.49 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Packers | 60c | 4,275$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.15 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Seahawks | 43c | 4,247$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Packers | 57c | 3,466$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.51 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Seahawks | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Packers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.13 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Packers | 60c | 2,992$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.57 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Seahawks | 40c | 2,904$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.73 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…c302backed Seahawks | 16c | 2,661$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Seahawks | 41c | 2,581$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.83 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Seahawks | 31c | 2,553$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.85 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Packers | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…3ae9backed Seahawks | 43c | 2,475$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Seahawks | 42c | 2,474$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.26 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Seahawks | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Packers | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.98 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Packers | 57c | 2,281$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…b2c1backed Packers | 59c | 2,258$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Seahawks | 45c | 2,219$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Seahawks | 44c | 2,151$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.44 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Packers | 73c | 1,899$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.93 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…5830backed Packers | 56c | 1,771$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.49 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Packers | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Packers | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Seahawks | 20c | 1,707$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.24 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Packers | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5269…435abacked Seahawks | 16c | 1,553$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Packers | 80c | 1,550$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Seahawks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…8222backed Packers | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Seahawks | 39c | 1,494$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.54 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Packers | 59c | 1,477$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.51 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Packers | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…cbdcbacked Seahawks | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Seahawks | 42c | 1,389$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.31 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Seahawks | 4c | 1,332$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Seahawks | 12c | 1,290$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Packers | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc61…0a44backed Seahawks | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Seahawks | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Packers | 60c | 1,108$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.37 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Seahawks | 15c | 1,108$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Seahawks | 42c | 1,100$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…d60fbacked Seahawks | 44c | 1,096$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.34 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Packers | 59c | 1,023$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.62 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Packers | 75c | 1,009$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.55 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…e7ffbacked Seahawks | 16c | 1,001$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Seahawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Packers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Packers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Packers | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Seahawks | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…11bfbacked Packers | 58c | 951.79$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Seahawks | 41c | 950$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Seahawks | 25c | 933.89$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.55 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Packers | 78c | 928.72$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.72 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Packers | 57c | 904.12$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.12 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Packers | 73c | 903.95$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.17 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…b62ebacked Packers | 59c | 889.83$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Seahawks | 41c | 858.61$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.03 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Packers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…83bbbacked Seahawks | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Packers | 58c | 780$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.8 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Seahawks | 32c | 741.07$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.18 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Packers | 74c | 724.77$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.44 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Packers | 58c | 683.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.81 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Packers | 59c | 657.63$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.63 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Seahawks | 42c | 644.07$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.51 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Seahawks | 40c | 600$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Packers | 59c | 529$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.89 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Seahawks | 23c | 525.7$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Packers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Seahawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Seahawks | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.