MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bdd58e40e80669263089ced1a68dbc4dc59efd3d19294b2a4170d07741d6562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cubs | 63c | 61,894$39,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,048.43 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 37c | 51,059$18,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,177.64 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 34c | 10,770$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,107.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 36c | 9,827$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,289.2 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 64c | 8,471$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,421.44 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cubs | 66c | 7,618$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 20c | 6,343$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.58 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 64c | 5,799$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 53c | 5,750$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Pirates | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.41 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 36c | 5,100$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cubs | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…b408backed Pirates | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…a159backed Cubs | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…4f22backed Cubs | 66c | 4,926$3,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pirates | 52c | 4,749$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Cubs | 66c | 4,720$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6939…5417backed Cubs | 69c | 4,259$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cubs | 56c | 4,024$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pirates | 34c | 3,862$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.39 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 38c | 3,383$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.52 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Cubs | 64c | 3,200$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Pirates | 36c | 3,033$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.55 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 41c | 2,598$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.83 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cubs | 65c | 2,491$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.43 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cubs | 64c | 2,233$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.93 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Pirates | 35c | 2,189$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.66 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 43c | 2,158$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.66 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…ab0abacked Cubs | 64c | 2,100$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…df96backed Pirates | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…3010backed Pirates | 36c | 1,900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Pirates | 35c | 1,800$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Pirates | 36c | 1,722$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…2c86backed Pirates | 36c | 1,700$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…28d2backed Pirates | 36c | 1,700$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…0a1dbacked Pirates | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Pirates | 35c | 1,615$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.28 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…f599backed Pirates | 36c | 1,600$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Cubs | 64c | 1,562$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Cubs | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…ff82backed Pirates | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…5f95backed Cubs | 64c | 1,462$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…560dbacked Cubs | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…1901backed Pirates | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Pirates | 36c | 1,303$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Cubs | 64c | 1,300$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Pirates | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.97 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Cubs | 65c | 1,262$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7404…c062backed Cubs | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…836bbacked Pirates | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…b124backed Pirates | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…0d72backed Pirates | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…032fbacked Pirates | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…88fdbacked Pirates | 36c | 1,194$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…3d17backed Cubs | 64c | 1,150$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Pirates | 40c | 1,094$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 37c | 1,074$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.01 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cubs | 64c | 1,042$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.88 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Pirates | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pirates | 35c | 999.94$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.96 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cubs | 63c | 983.87$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.72 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 35c | 970$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…e7cbbacked Cubs | 64c | 963$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…7892backed Pirates | 36c | 961$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…5f79backed Cubs | 64c | 938$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b7…e14bbacked Cubs | 64c | 938$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…910cbacked Cubs | 64c | 928$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…38a9backed Cubs | 64c | 922$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…cf6ebacked Cubs | 64c | 891$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…4b33backed Pirates | 36c | 889$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…9e5cbacked Cubs | 64c | 885$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 52cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…1924backed Cubs | 64c | 872$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc99b…7d85backed Cubs | 64c | 828$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54cd…71b9backed Cubs | 64c | 809$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…d10cbacked Cubs | 64c | 803$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…118cbacked Cubs | 64c | 797$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Pirates | 33c | 785.63$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3582backed Cubs | 64c | 781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Pirates | 37c | 776.79$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.73 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Pirates | 37c | 774.6$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.95 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 65c | 722.94$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.91 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 68c | 700$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.38 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Cubs | 65c | 697.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.96 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…5b24backed Cubs | 64c | 656$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Pirates | 35c | 641.26$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.82 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pirates | 39c | 633.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.19 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 35c | 626$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.9 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 64c | 624.5$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.68 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Cubs | 64c | 620.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Pirates | 37c | 604.92$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.1 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeef…21a8backed Cubs | 64c | 538$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Cubs | 65c | 534.25$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.26 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 37c | 505.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.41 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Cubs | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Pirates | 35c | 500$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.5 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.