TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Grizzlies43c42,006$18,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,087.3711842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers52c12,562$6,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,067.923,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Clippers66c10,495$6,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,615.0811459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers42c9,288$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,392.1865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Grizzlies70c6,242$4,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3636450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Clippers80c5,563$4,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.5370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Grizzlies60c5,424$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.974344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Clippers53c4,362$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.4161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Clippers73c4,213$3,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.686563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers46c3,852$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.981,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x900d…2961backed Grizzlies68c3,383$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3103571.4%25 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Clippers31c3,320$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.133752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Clippers52c2,500$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.6425651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Grizzlies74c2,329$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.823161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers32c2,050$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3941,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Grizzlies49c2,041$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.230954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Grizzlies54c2,036$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.1426235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Clippers32c1,978$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.5677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Clippers35c1,878$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.721,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Clippers62c1,766$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.0525865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Clippers33c1,755$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.4534644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Clippers37c1,700$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.096533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers31c1,400$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Grizzlies58c1,382$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1747357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Clippers30c1,255$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.5496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked Grizzlies58c1,153$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.996552.3%34 W · 31 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Clippers33c1,149$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.8119845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Clippers40c1,062$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5539843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers32c988.33$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.061,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5199…382bbacked Grizzlies8c971.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.532556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Clippers40c897.84$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.2549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Clippers55c840.61$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.116347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Grizzlies48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38429858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Clippers38c793.15$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.5215947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Clippers59c785.06$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.768150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies69c784.2$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.16139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Grizzlies65c768.12$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Clippers32c758$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.6445251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Clippers32c758$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9311150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Grizzlies72c746.54$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5812154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Clippers54c730.52$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7926547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Grizzlies55c699.99$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3856642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37cd…5b44backed Clippers56c690$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.63043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Clippers40c687.21$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.4317141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Grizzlies80c652.1$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.685366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Clippers30c651.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.393839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f46…5ba3backed Grizzlies64c644.9$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a0e…113dbacked Grizzlies69c626.6$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.314052.5%21 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Clippers31c558.99$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.713262.5%20 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+57.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xecb8…c405backed Clippers60c558.97$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.743447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Clippers50c549.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9915234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Grizzlies39c525.31$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8713140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Grizzlies70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Grizzlies47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23515341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Clippers44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28013920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Grizzlies68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34029148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x279d…bc0ebacked Grizzlies15c499.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-48%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Grizzlies67c499.96$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.974835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Clippers31c487.31$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.959646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Grizzlies54c477.01$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.096851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Clippers70c453.91$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1719939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Grizzlies69c444$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.1420245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Grizzlies62c435.52$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.884858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Grizzlies71c422.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Grizzlies70c406.58$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.497452.7%39 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Grizzlies64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2565468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Grizzlies67c373.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Grizzlies69c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Grizzlies52c340$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.648137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Grizzlies71c321.34$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4525957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Clippers32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.515237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Grizzlies64c312.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9815341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaced…5139backed Grizzlies70c302.01$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.411154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Grizzlies67c300$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.771,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…483cbacked Grizzlies77c297.65$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.191553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Clippers32c294.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Clippers27c280$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.419350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0286…3916backed Clippers44c279.47$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+263.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b9b…2274backed Grizzlies76c278.88$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.491758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Clippers38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1617838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Clippers30c259$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5814941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies67c250$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.589353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc74…7db4backed Grizzlies40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Grizzlies42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.847535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Clippers23c239.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1319746.2%91 W · 106 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Clippers42c236.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8238027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Grizzlies48c206.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies9c200.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.041,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce73…70a9backed Clippers38c200$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+79.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Clippers30c196.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7730061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x021e…1e56backed Clippers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d59…2e4abacked Grizzlies53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Clippers32c186$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9817244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Clippers32c185.52$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6673445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Grizzlies68c176.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e26…b14abacked Grizzlies57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Clippers32c172.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4170951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.