TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd692…8b9abacked Utah10c1,959$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.338744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Utah37c1,848$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.7131849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Stars63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.31266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Utah15c1,368$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecf5…bbd6backed Utah42c936.93$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Utah40c672.89$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Utah5c573.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd926…4755backed Stars60c380.62$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e7e…47c9backed Utah40c380.62$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars57c339.58$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0266951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars60c246.27$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Utah33c218.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Utah8c216.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.387450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Stars65c203.66$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.832373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Utah39c196.06$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e26…b14abacked Stars66c181.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Stars58c179$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6223…0671backed Stars61c164.8$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.278237.8%31 W · 51 L-10.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Utah44c151.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.528542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Stars60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dbe…1ff9backed Stars67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Utah22c133.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7514949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Utah40c125.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5318…2a91backed Stars63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Stars65c107.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5538040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Stars66c104.63$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.735337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Utah39c98.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b86…75c1backed Stars63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe9…e00ebacked Stars61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Stars58c78.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.13842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Utah35c78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.348654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1768…b5c2backed Utah40c72.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Utah38c70.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.926642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x258e…46ddbacked Stars59c69.34$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fe…4389backed Stars53c67.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb6…654cbacked Stars60c60.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea99…9fa8backed Utah40c59.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4901…55dabacked Stars54c52.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38e…8ee0backed Stars57c52.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb46…3936backed Utah39c50.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb61…30b5backed Stars61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9108…479ebacked Stars62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd997…a8dcbacked Utah46c46.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c1…305cbacked Utah49c46.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea55…522cbacked Utah39c44.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb231…95bcbacked Utah40c41.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61be…2a5dbacked Utah40c41.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238b…5b3abacked Stars59c40.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d3…6a98backed Utah44c39.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x864a…06b2backed Stars57c39.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c09…6573backed Stars60c39.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.744100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac7b…f22abacked Utah41c39.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Utah39c39.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4511445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbc…b626backed Utah42c39.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfd…e366backed Stars58c39.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d6…1c32backed Utah41c39.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d1…382bbacked Stars59c38.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca0…2699backed Stars62c37.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2116…eed0backed Utah38c37.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd379…97babacked Utah44c37.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+76%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26ba…0409backed Stars61c37.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08f9…0af7backed Stars58c37.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…de0fbacked Stars58c37.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…3f9abacked Stars62c37.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda38…074abacked Stars59c36.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf89c…5d56backed Utah40c36.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f5d…4e2dbacked Stars60c36.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a3…3d32backed Stars61c36.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…7d46backed Stars61c36.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdfb…a9dbbacked Utah39c36.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff3…f75dbacked Stars60c36.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee1e…8e94backed Utah45c36.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0bf…ced2backed Utah40c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce45…2b51backed Stars61c35.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ff…9506backed Stars57c35.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45a4…11bcbacked Utah43c35.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65fb…1eadbacked Utah39c35.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x219f…e94ebacked Utah35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.253030%9 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c74…55febacked Utah38c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e3…9263backed Stars62c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8774…0ae4backed Utah39c34.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb94a…57fcbacked Utah43c34.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…bc23backed Stars61c34.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.544100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9fd…99eebacked Utah40c34.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca6…24f6backed Utah44c34.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0e…4b54backed Stars57c33.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf34…6a50backed Utah39c33.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb99…68eebacked Stars61c33.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92b4…fd0fbacked Utah44c33.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f44…073cbacked Utah44c33.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Stars61c32.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8210255.9%57 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd7a…6adbbacked Stars62c32.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.434100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd4…da79backed Utah38c32.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4140…4f82backed Stars70c32.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e02bbacked Utah40c32.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…c4c3backed Stars60c32.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9be…f9ccbacked Stars61c32.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831c…d430backed Utah40c31.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.