WNBA · resolved market
Sun vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dee14982372d7904fe08514d4483cde0dd77d93ac24a5e4a9559773751c4ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Sun, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sun | 10c | 6,282$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.05 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 24c | 4,123$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.23 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Sun | 10c | 3,638$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sun | 10c | 3,266$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.34 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sun | 7c | 2,623$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sun | 26c | 2,538$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.83 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sun | 10c | 2,007$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sun | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Valkyries | 73c | 1,674$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Valkyries | 75c | 1,335$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Valkyries | 77c | 1,263$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.68 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Sun | 2c | 1,067$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Valkyries | 76c | 1,048$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Valkyries | 77c | 1,023$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2550…f5d5backed Valkyries | 76c | 635.5$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sun | 23c | 515.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Valkyries | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Sun | 27c | 456.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sun | 24c | 419$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f925backed Sun | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Sun | 25c | 384$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Valkyries | 75c | 304.05$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Valkyries | 76c | 299.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…c78bbacked Valkyries | 75c | 271.11$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Valkyries | 76c | 263.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed Valkyries | 78c | 263.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Valkyries | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sun | 24c | 253.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Sun | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Sun | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Valkyries | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 68cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Valkyries | 76c | 173.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 77cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sun | 25c | 155.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Valkyries | 76c | 144$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Valkyries | 75c | 137$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd6…59f2backed Sun | 26c | 133.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…a3afbacked Valkyries | 76c | 131.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sun | 22c | 111.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Sun | 21c | 105.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sun | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Valkyries | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…2f9dbacked Sun | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Sun | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Valkyries | 76c | 82.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sun | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Sun | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe688…fc52backed Sun | 26c | 71.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Valkyries | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sun | 21c | 70.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Valkyries | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sun | 25c | 55.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Valkyries | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Sun | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Valkyries | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sun | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sun | 23c | 45.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked Valkyries | 76c | 38.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…92c9backed Valkyries | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…22c4backed Valkyries | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Valkyries | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e84…26c9backed Valkyries | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…bbabbacked Valkyries | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9108…479ebacked Valkyries | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…25a7backed Valkyries | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Valkyries | 79c | 18.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…b83fbacked Valkyries | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…199dbacked Valkyries | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…188ebacked Valkyries | 77c | 15.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed Valkyries | 77c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.