TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Taylor vs. Serrano

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Taylorof Taylor, Serrano
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10fb…c66cbacked Serrano1c14,851$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.51540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Serrano64c6,531$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa7…f17abacked Serrano1c5,410$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Taylor68c5,402$3,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Serrano73c5,132$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,769.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b25…b921backed Serrano72c4,611$3,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,302.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Serrano64c4,436$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.91850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8830…b4e0backed Serrano0c4,393$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b24…dd3fbacked Taylor33c4,136$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.73333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddc…77a1backed Taylor25c4,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.99911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873b…166cbacked Taylor36c3,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9302100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+122.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Serrano64c3,000$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Taylor34c2,949$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f20…1750backed Serrano70c2,926$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Serrano65c2,629$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.3660%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56d7…3d6bbacked Taylor30c2,217$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d2…2605backed Taylor39c2,064$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae2…2b63backed Serrano1c1,738$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67c…9af7backed Serrano70c1,657$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1130…c545backed Taylor31c1,588$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Serrano63c1,539$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.811258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8b…72ebbacked Serrano66c1,511$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9711…3fa1backed Taylor51c1,499$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58fe…5db9backed Taylor31c1,487$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+141.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbd…59e4backed Serrano67c1,484$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd830…3709backed Taylor17c1,396$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.49333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+98.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a4…fd2ebacked Taylor40c1,365$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Taylor49c1,344$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bb…2c25backed Taylor38c1,318$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.42742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc2c…3544backed Taylor35c1,295$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b8…cc82backed Serrano68c1,287$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Taylor45c1,274$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.232564%16 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Serrano66c1,239$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…21a2backed Serrano74c1,166$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf7…397abacked Taylor37c1,061$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f3…1335backed Taylor33c1,033$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.7425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee72…e4c0backed Taylor28c1,030$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+164.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6177…9800backed Serrano1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…2205backed Serrano1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Serrano60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Serrano64c999.97$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe519…c68bbacked Taylor30c997.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.19742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x752e…81c4backed Taylor33c991.65$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.41540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc24…2d05backed Taylor37c983.61$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.09425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-32.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x264d…a69ebacked Taylor29c864.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Taylor38c848.96$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf981…bff6backed Serrano62c817.4$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaec…dd15backed Taylor15c790.61$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.61425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+63.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34bf…d63bbacked Serrano70c779.06$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc8…35aebacked Taylor25c773.86$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239d…94dcbacked Taylor40c746.91$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8576…4c22backed Serrano71c703.01$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Serrano2c696.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-69.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df9…b0f6backed Taylor36c694.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x046e…ec2dbacked Taylor30c668.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.47825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e4…d1d3backed Serrano3c651.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Taylor34c636.06$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee8…8069backed Taylor25c629.51$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+76.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6708…90a3backed Taylor48c619.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Serrano64c571.79$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.79944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6867…d48ebacked Taylor37c564.32$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+101.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad9…af54backed Taylor36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Serrano54c540.63$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3107…8b83backed Taylor42c537.15$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Taylor35c507.37$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.18633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x043b…abedbacked Taylor41c492.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.23520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1d…ebd0backed Taylor37c437.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Taylor34c410.74$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f16…be9ebacked Taylor40c403.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd160…a9dabacked Taylor30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed Taylor31c399.97$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…cb45backed Taylor26c384.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.53333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa20b…d3cabacked Serrano71c370$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4690…20f4backed Taylor34c368.17$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x353b…0d45backed Serrano69c359.71$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…0458backed Taylor42c353.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Serrano62c353.86$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.321346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb956…c475backed Serrano69c350$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Serrano67c349.54$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.08742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb18…1f0ebacked Taylor35c342.93$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9c…e78fbacked Taylor30c342.1$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+142.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf846…7341backed Taylor34c341.08$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30e0…7d7dbacked Serrano69c336.95$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99b9…9b39backed Taylor28c322.76$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+43.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2f3…2f94backed Serrano64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Taylor52c310.64$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.64911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-78.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08cc…4f3abacked Taylor24c310$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick33cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4821…aaaabacked Taylor36c309.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.92425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Taylor25c304.94$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.241747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf15…a487backed Taylor33c302.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Serrano53c300.45$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40e…64f5backed Taylor41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Taylor28c300$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054c…9fc0backed Taylor34c296.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…978abacked Serrano68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f5c…407fbacked Taylor33c291.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.32520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53bc…4fd1backed Taylor35c285.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4d…5867backed Taylor35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed2…64d3backed Taylor35c282.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.53425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ce…b599backed Taylor36c277.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.