Boxing · resolved market
Goyat vs. Nunes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a60e700ae0463b434f119938ca62f9ed43d10cfed930acb56e9d7705a1658ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Goyatof Goyat, Nunes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Nunes | 7c | 1,450$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Goyat | 76c | 1,328$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nunes | 7c | 1,042$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…33b8backed Nunes | 14c | 732.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…ebd0backed Nunes | 26c | 624.62$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x043b…abedbacked Nunes | 23c | 543.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Goyat | 76c | 529.17$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b3…6da1backed Nunes | 20c | 441.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3241…5a44backed Nunes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…76ebbacked Nunes | 6c | 346.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Nunes | 8c | 344.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa12b…bbf5backed Nunes | 7c | 216.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…8eb2backed Nunes | 24c | 205.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Nunes | 16c | 205.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…c905backed Nunes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…57fabacked Nunes | 19c | 103.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…c1a8backed Nunes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Nunes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…0878backed Nunes | 22c | 88.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…dc91backed Nunes | 26c | 88.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…dc95backed Nunes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Nunes | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa892…2a33backed Nunes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…bb83backed Nunes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…fba1backed Nunes | 21c | 53.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…044dbacked Nunes | 24c | 53.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed Nunes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…b004backed Nunes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c96…e71fbacked Nunes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…ac5abacked Nunes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…c475backed Goyat | 80c | 15.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Goyat vs. Nunesthis page
- Bahdi vs. CasamonicaBahdi won
- Carrington vs. CoolwellCarrington won
- Green vs. WatpoolGreen won
- Taylor vs. SerranoTaylor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.