NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f25affd5084282827c386dfe3fde5d9f7c51c1fa2d161642aefaf78990de951
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Raptors | 33c | 17,147$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,671.29 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Knicks | 71c | 12,504$8,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Knicks | 70c | 11,564$8,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.28 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Knicks | 78c | 11,356$8,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.07 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 30c | 10,998$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.46 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 31c | 10,416$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.69 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 30c | 10,077$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Raptors | 26c | 9,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 27c | 6,324$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.97 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 37c | 6,176$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.2 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Knicks | 69c | 5,689$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Raptors | 29c | 5,303$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.82 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…15d7backed Knicks | 68c | 5,025$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Raptors | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Knicks | 75c | 4,982$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.45 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Raptors | 26c | 4,294$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.06 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Raptors | 34c | 3,808$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.5 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Knicks | 74c | 3,710$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.56 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raptors | 44c | 3,534$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.35 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Raptors | 26c | 3,501$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.16 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Raptors | 32c | 3,137$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.77 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Raptors | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Raptors | 30c | 2,879$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.71 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Raptors | 30c | 2,855$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.79 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Raptors | 45c | 2,817$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.56 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Knicks | 71c | 2,383$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.29 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Raptors | 26c | 2,282$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.86 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Knicks | 74c | 2,149$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Knicks | 67c | 2,065$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.77 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Knicks | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 29c | 2,000$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Knicks | 74c | 1,921$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.41 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…bdc4backed Raptors | 32c | 1,890$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…c683backed Knicks | 70c | 1,636$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…1a25backed Raptors | 30c | 1,585$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Knicks | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.48 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Knicks | 70c | 1,472$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.74 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Raptors | 5c | 1,400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Raptors | 38c | 1,399$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.5 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…3624backed Knicks | 74c | 1,354$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Knicks | 71c | 1,338$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.95 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 17c | 1,316$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.91 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…6864backed Knicks | 76c | 1,307$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…fdbabacked Raptors | 27c | 1,274$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors | 18c | 1,159$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Raptors | 30c | 1,142$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.58 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f6…17acbacked Knicks | 76c | 1,133$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 3c | 1,127$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Raptors | 35c | 1,120$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.37 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Knicks | 74c | 1,073$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.92 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Raptors | 28c | 1,054$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Knicks | 73c | 1,053$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Knicks | 76c | 1,048$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.11 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Raptors | 27c | 1,007$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.96 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Knicks | 71c | 1,002$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.24 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Raptors | 32c | 1,002$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.77 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc359…fa9abacked Raptors | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…efb3backed Knicks | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Knicks | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Knicks | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…2097backed Raptors | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…a295backed Raptors | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Knicks | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046d…1a10backed Knicks | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…03abbacked Raptors | 29c | 999.88$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2d…569cbacked Knicks | 74c | 998.29$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.23 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raptors | 30c | 975.7$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.61 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…1090backed Knicks | 70c | 906.51$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Knicks | 57c | 899.84$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.93 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Knicks | 70c | 891.16$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.65 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 32c | 872.62$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.53 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…65afbacked Knicks | 74c | 862.14$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.03 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 32c | 799.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Raptors | 25c | 798.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Raptors | 15c | 793.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Knicks | 73c | 730.37$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Knicks | 67c | 722$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…cbdcbacked Raptors | 30c | 721.97$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…5febbacked Knicks | 72c | 690.11$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Raptors | 33c | 685.11$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.09 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…a7cfbacked Knicks | 72c | 678.48$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…f9dfbacked Knicks | 70c | 655.86$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Knicks | 74c | 654.05$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.05 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Knicks | 68c | 630$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Knicks | 74c | 625$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Knicks | 76c | 600$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 67c | 599.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Knicks | 67c | 589.86$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.86 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…9e6fbacked Knicks | 69c | 585.36$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…66b8backed Raptors | 30c | 584.95$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…c239backed Knicks | 70c | 571.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Knicks | 66c | 567.35$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.45 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Raptors | 38c | 538.58$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.73 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Raptors | 30c | 517.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Knicks | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Raptors | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Raptors | 31c | 495.16$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…ffbabacked Knicks | 70c | 491.71$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…06cebacked Raptors | 32c | 479.63$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.