NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d06d7f914dc48f3d95953bd37190638e2db523e7cf1383bef69431dda710c92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Colts, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Colts | 41c | 31,644$12,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,903.21 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Broncos | 66c | 16,017$10,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420.15 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Broncos | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Colts | 33c | 12,987$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235.95 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Colts | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.87 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Broncos | 62c | 9,518$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.97 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Colts | 41c | 9,021$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.77 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Broncos | 65c | 6,598$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.92 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked Colts | 2c | 6,098$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Colts | 55c | 5,624$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.2 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Broncos | 45c | 5,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Broncos | 77c | 5,284$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.97 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Colts | 39c | 4,854$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.36 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Colts | 34c | 4,618$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.26 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colts | 43c | 4,348$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.26 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…b62ebacked Broncos | 63c | 3,697$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Broncos | 67c | 3,500$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.87 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Colts | 33c | 3,465$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.51 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebc…dd8abacked Colts | 34c | 3,350$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…d8fbbacked Broncos | 67c | 3,349$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Broncos | 50c | 3,113$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.49 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…6b9ebacked Broncos | 67c | 3,030$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…d60fbacked Broncos | 67c | 2,941$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.51 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Broncos | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Broncos | 62c | 2,346$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.68 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Colts | 34c | 2,297$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Broncos | 67c | 2,040$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.2 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Colts | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Broncos | 47c | 1,950$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.58 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Broncos | 67c | 1,921$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.9 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Broncos | 66c | 1,830$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.34 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Broncos | 48c | 1,705$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.9 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Broncos | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Broncos | 72c | 1,500$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Broncos | 60c | 1,429$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.28 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Broncos | 44c | 1,333$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.81 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Colts | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Colts | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Broncos | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Colts | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Broncos | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Colts | 33c | 980.66$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.21 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Colts | 34c | 888$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb296…07babacked Broncos | 59c | 873.64$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Colts | 34c | 852.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Broncos | 71c | 790.55$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Broncos | 74c | 750.37$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.37 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Broncos | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Colts | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Broncos | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Colts | 48c | 662.09$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.46 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colts | 41c | 654.75$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.67 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…ccbabacked Broncos | 67c | 646.27$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.27 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Colts | 25c | 636.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Broncos | 67c | 606$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Broncos | 63c | 597.94$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Broncos | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…83bbbacked Colts | 7c | 580.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Colts | 6c | 565.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Broncos | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Broncos | 67c | 507.46$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Broncos | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Broncos | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Broncos | 67c | 462.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Colts | 33c | 451.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Colts | 33c | 451$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Broncos | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Broncos | 73c | 421.41$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.41 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…3d03backed Colts | 34c | 367.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Broncos | 64c | 364.1$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Colts | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Colts | 39c | 314.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…e0debacked Colts | 43c | 314.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…2609backed Colts | 55c | 307.36$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Colts | 33c | 304$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Colts | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Broncos | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Broncos | 44c | 299.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Broncos | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Colts | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Colts | 32c | 293.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…1c68backed Colts | 44c | 286.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Colts | 48c | 275.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Broncos | 71c | 275.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Broncos | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Broncos | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Broncos | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Broncos | 66c | 247.19$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Broncos | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Broncos | 67c | 217.69$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 71 | 77.5%55 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Colts | 56c | 212.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Broncos | 70c | 202.74$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Broncos | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 241 | 60.6%146 W · 95 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Broncos | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Colts | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Broncos | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Broncos | 53c | 187.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Colts | 35c | 187.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Broncos | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Broncos | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.