MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfff86139deab60e597f0a4df8b88d99da3dff5de8a4a717d65e5f2055d343b98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 41c | 21,113$8,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,755.33 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 33c | 10,595$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.74 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 73c | 8,746$6,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.08 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Astros | 67c | 5,900$3,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Orioles | 34c | 5,011$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 34c | 4,918$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.9 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 33c | 4,385$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.77 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 66c | 3,950$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.25 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Astros | 66c | 3,233$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 34c | 2,242$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.72 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Astros | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 62c | 1,990$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.84 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Astros | 67c | 1,866$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Orioles | 33c | 1,757$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.43 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 34c | 1,566$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Astros | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Orioles | 31c | 1,490$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.77 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 35c | 1,347$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.99 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Astros | 10c | 1,101$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Astros | 67c | 855$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.85 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 75c | 787.35$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 34c | 735$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 69c | 710$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.9 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Orioles | 33c | 689.27$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.81 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 79c | 644.28$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 68c | 589.71$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Astros | 67c | 538.67$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.91 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 70c | 536.81$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.03 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Orioles | 32c | 522.48$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.29 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 34c | 510.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.34 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Orioles | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Astros | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 68c | 429.98$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.39 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 68c | 400$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.69 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…9945backed Orioles | 55c | 363$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Astros | 68c | 350$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 32c | 350$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Orioles | 53c | 346.44$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Astros | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 32c | 300$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Astros | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 34c | 295$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 11c | 294.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Orioles | 34c | 286.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 32c | 275$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Orioles | 55c | 270.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Astros | 12c | 240$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Astros | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Orioles | 78c | 192.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Orioles | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Orioles | 33c | 151$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Astros | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Astros | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Astros | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Astros | 66c | 135$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Orioles | 34c | 123.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Orioles | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Astros | 14c | 116$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Astros | 66c | 111$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…6368backed Astros | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…4e47backed Astros | 69c | 106.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Orioles | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 14c | 101.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Astros | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Astros | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…f248backed Orioles | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +128%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7254…9293backed Astros | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Orioles | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 33c | 99.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 69c | 86.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b532backed Astros | 67c | 86.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 56c | 85.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…4fccbacked Orioles | 34c | 78.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…db44backed Orioles | 32c | 78.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Orioles | 47c | 77.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 66c | 76.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa865…a199backed Orioles | 32c | 75.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Orioles | 76c | 72.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…b257backed Orioles | 34c | 71.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Astros | 67c | 67.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Orioles | 31c | 61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Astros | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…c19cbacked Astros | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Astros | 66c | 57.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Astros | 67c | 54.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Orioles | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astros | 67c | 49.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Orioles | 32c | 48.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…3226backed Astros | 68c | 40.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…0da8backed Orioles | 34c | 40.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bb…f7e9backed Astros | 69c | 39.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.