NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec64de6e5581d7404d89deb2c85bbcbc6b17fda3054aacf43be5c4d07a5ec7ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Grizzlies, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Mavericks | 37c | 33,880$12,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,201.2 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Mavericks | 61c | 26,076$16,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.54 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Grizzlies | 72c | 20,454$14,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,736.38 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Grizzlies | 4c | 11,244$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.15 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…90afbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 9,367$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mavericks | 24c | 8,573$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,538.87 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 8,546$6,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,751.73 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Mavericks | 69c | 6,751$4,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.9 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 19c | 6,063$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,883.84 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Mavericks | 64c | 3,777$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.19 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…02b6backed Mavericks | 35c | 3,322$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Grizzlies | 78c | 3,279$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.45 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Grizzlies | 58c | 2,847$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Grizzlies | 39c | 2,840$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Mavericks | 62c | 2,632$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.15 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1e…2f01backed Grizzlies | 39c | 2,560$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Mavericks | 63c | 2,541$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.17 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de1…6286backed Mavericks | 62c | 2,499$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 32c | 2,493$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.48 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Mavericks | 69c | 2,411$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.02 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Grizzlies | 4c | 2,200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Grizzlies | 39c | 2,001$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.22 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 34c | 1,998$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.4 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Grizzlies | 68c | 1,811$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.26 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Grizzlies | 72c | 1,800$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mavericks | 63c | 1,748$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.64 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Mavericks | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,621$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…e540backed Mavericks | 65c | 1,540$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Grizzlies | 73c | 1,538$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.53 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Mavericks | 44c | 1,501$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.35 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 1,428$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.77 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Grizzlies | 37c | 1,332$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.96 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Grizzlies | 38c | 1,319$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks | 58c | 1,313$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.83 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…87e5backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,310$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.84 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Mavericks | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Mavericks | 66c | 1,134$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.33 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Grizzlies | 36c | 1,115$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mavericks | 17c | 1,111$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.52 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Grizzlies | 42c | 1,074$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.08 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…b625backed Mavericks | 23c | 1,014$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Grizzlies | 42c | 995.61$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.16 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Mavericks | 65c | 860.94$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.33 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mavericks | 65c | 842.11$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.42 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 815.34$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.14 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 36c | 802.74$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Mavericks | 63c | 759.4$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.53 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks | 62c | 750$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cb…6c2abacked Grizzlies | 16c | 704.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Mavericks | 41c | 701.93$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.18 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…53b3backed Grizzlies | 38c | 699.95$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Grizzlies | 37c | 684.23$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.16 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Grizzlies | 37c | 650$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Mavericks | 61c | 646.88$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.28 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 633.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks | 12c | 617.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.56 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Grizzlies | 38c | 616$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269d…e0c2backed Grizzlies | 37c | 606.69$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Mavericks | 44c | 550.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.58 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks | 61c | 543.79$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.17 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…57a7backed Mavericks | 26c | 535.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 502.66$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 474.17$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.53 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Mavericks | 61c | 474$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Grizzlies | 37c | 473.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.42 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mavericks | 44c | 458.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.51 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3791…158fbacked Mavericks | 40c | 452.07$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Grizzlies | 38c | 440.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Mavericks | 63c | 422.35$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Grizzlies | 35c | 408$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…3acebacked Mavericks | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…516cbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Mavericks | 41c | 392.8$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Grizzlies | 51c | 390.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…af06backed Mavericks | 20c | 366.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.94 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Grizzlies | 38c | 342.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Mavericks | 19c | 339.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.75 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Mavericks | 62c | 336.29$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Grizzlies | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…5932backed Mavericks | 62c | 308.92$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Mavericks | 63c | 306.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Mavericks | 55c | 300.52$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Mavericks | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Grizzlies | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Grizzlies | 37c | 299.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies | 40c | 299.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…5c0dbacked Mavericks | 62c | 280.15$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce88…4d96backed Grizzlies | 39c | 280$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks | 61c | 257.61$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 32c | 253$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Mavericks | 14c | 250$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 247.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Mavericks | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…3e5cbacked Mavericks | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…fea3backed Grizzlies | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b47…de7ebacked Grizzlies | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.