NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb8e2ee9deaa1db50716365ca0e761e874e48ff8cec1d7ff1d5047c6db11ed4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Pistons, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pistons | 2c | 57,861$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.7 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Nuggets | 73c | 27,261$19,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,431.78 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 35c | 12,246$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260.72 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…86f8backed Pistons | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…819ebacked Nuggets | 67c | 9,999$6,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Pistons | 11c | 7,096$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pistons | 33c | 5,958$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.24 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons | 34c | 5,239$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.01 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 5c | 5,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 16c | 4,612$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.19 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pistons | 2c | 3,727$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Pistons | 32c | 3,302$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…45bbbacked Pistons | 26c | 3,011$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Nuggets | 68c | 2,765$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.15 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…5203backed Pistons | 1c | 2,325$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pistons | 1c | 1,750$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Nuggets | 68c | 1,732$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.44 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pistons | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pistons | 35c | 1,501$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.56 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Nuggets | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…c136backed Pistons | 4c | 1,234$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 2c | 1,200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Pistons | 29c | 1,200$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…47cfbacked Pistons | 3c | 1,163$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons | 33c | 1,146$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.76 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Nuggets | 68c | 1,144$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.31 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Pistons | 22c | 1,077$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.96 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Pistons | 32c | 1,000$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Nuggets | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Nuggets | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pistons | 8c | 1,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pistons | 33c | 999.8$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Nuggets | 70c | 989.79$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.79 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 11c | 967.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pistons | 4c | 870$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nuggets | 67c | 800$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.15 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Nuggets | 69c | 732.13$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.94 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…8ad8backed Pistons | 42c | 700.05$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Pistons | 34c | 617.61$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Nuggets | 68c | 599.65$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.89 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Nuggets | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Nuggets | 69c | 591.81$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.66 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pistons | 35c | 590.72$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.75 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Pistons | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Nuggets | 60c | 580$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.93 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Nuggets | 68c | 565.29$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Pistons | 2c | 515.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 33c | 507$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Nuggets | 73c | 500.2$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 67c | 500$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Pistons | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Nuggets | 70c | 496.13$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Nuggets | 66c | 494$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets | 74c | 479.6$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…ad5bbacked Pistons | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 32c | 438.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Pistons | 16c | 423.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…1c32backed Pistons | 4c | 420.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nuggets | 68c | 416.27$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 43c | 415.07$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Nuggets | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c92…bdd8backed Pistons | 10c | 385.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Pistons | 33c | 374.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Nuggets | 69c | 354.07$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Nuggets | 66c | 350$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Pistons | 17c | 305.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Nuggets | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Pistons | 30c | 293.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ca…a4b4backed Pistons | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Nuggets | 67c | 280.6$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Nuggets | 67c | 254.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pistons | 21c | 237.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 35c | 230.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nuggets | 69c | 223.19$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2b…f448backed Nuggets | 66c | 218.93$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Pistons | 12c | 206.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Pistons | 10c | 203.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce73…70a9backed Pistons | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pistons | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Nuggets | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pistons | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…4727backed Pistons | 34c | 191$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +232.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…67c3backed Nuggets | 69c | 187.45$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Pistons | 27c | 178.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 80c | 175.73$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Nuggets | 69c | 172.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Pistons | 42c | 171.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bf64backed Nuggets | 78c | 157.69$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…2e93backed Pistons | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5c09backed Nuggets | 69c | 152.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81fd…0d12backed Nuggets | 69c | 152.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…d120backed Nuggets | 68c | 147.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Pistons | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…54f4backed Nuggets | 70c | 145$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Pistons | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63c…977fbacked Pistons | 31c | 119.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Nuggets | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.