NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6df03a9366e405d3cce96c142cf6c3c70c1372479b8a660857b595d2be30194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Kings | 65c | 2,492$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.04 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers | 37c | 2,441$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.91 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 2,110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 39c | 1,181$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.4 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 62c | 1,008$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.71 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Flyers | 39c | 727.72$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.81 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Kings | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Flyers | 31c | 400.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 73c | 347.87$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings | 66c | 336.36$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Flyers | 26c | 311.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Flyers | 39c | 283.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e16…ce1ebacked Kings | 60c | 281.3$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…505bbacked Flyers | 40c | 281.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 40c | 254.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Flyers | 27c | 236.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers | 39c | 236.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Flyers | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Kings | 59c | 191.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Kings | 74c | 189.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61e…f76ebacked Flyers | 40c | 165.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…5369backed Kings | 60c | 165.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Kings | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Flyers | 39c | 150.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Flyers | 39c | 129$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Flyers | 40c | 109.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Flyers | 41c | 105.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flyers | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Kings | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…57a2backed Kings | 60c | 99.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2c…844abacked Flyers | 40c | 99.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Flyers | 41c | 99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Kings | 75c | 93.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Kings | 60c | 83.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Kings | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…61a1backed Kings | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 41c | 73.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b96…8c3ebacked Kings | 53c | 71.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Kings | 60c | 66.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Kings | 59c | 59.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…a0cbbacked Flyers | 42c | 59.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe476…2c3dbacked Kings | 61c | 59.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813c…ab52backed Flyers | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed4…692ebacked Kings | 60c | 53.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Flyers | 42c | 50.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Kings | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f1…5d00backed Flyers | 40c | 50.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…4b96backed Flyers | 40c | 50.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…e610backed Kings | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…bf4ebacked Flyers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Kings | 59c | 49.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Flyers | 39c | 48.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…6e42backed Kings | 58c | 48.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Flyers | 42c | 48.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Kings | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2de…9069backed Kings | 59c | 46.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa650…01a0backed Kings | 60c | 45.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6b46backed Flyers | 40c | 43.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb304…8f76backed Flyers | 47c | 43.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…98a0backed Flyers | 39c | 42.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…947bbacked Flyers | 42c | 40.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Flyers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Kings | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…4f74backed Flyers | 40c | 39.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…e73bbacked Flyers | 40c | 39.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca7…d15dbacked Kings | 60c | 39.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…ce65backed Kings | 60c | 39.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6143…0fe3backed Kings | 59c | 38.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…d6e4backed Flyers | 41c | 38.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…94d8backed Flyers | 40c | 38.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…4878backed Kings | 60c | 38.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…fc0dbacked Flyers | 41c | 38.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…b74cbacked Kings | 59c | 38.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0108…ba18backed Flyers | 41c | 38.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…9110backed Flyers | 40c | 37.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…055abacked Kings | 60c | 37.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…ba73backed Flyers | 40c | 37.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16d…36f6backed Kings | 60c | 37.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…edc1backed Flyers | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…6cfdbacked Kings | 58c | 36.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b8…3790backed Kings | 61c | 36.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…69e6backed Flyers | 39c | 36.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc031…125ebacked Kings | 61c | 36.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…96a8backed Kings | 53c | 35.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe04d…4260backed Flyers | 47c | 35.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…aeb1backed Kings | 60c | 35.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…a8d9backed Kings | 61c | 34.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…4a52backed Flyers | 41c | 34.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4893…0b28backed Kings | 59c | 34.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…72b6backed Kings | 60c | 34.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d8…5125backed Flyers | 40c | 34.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Kings | 64c | 33.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b4…eea8backed Flyers | 41c | 33.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b431backed Flyers | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f2…0b08backed Flyers | 40c | 33.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…8f8ebacked Kings | 60c | 33.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.