NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8fb957619c3ad8c9f29419f83373663867bf377688cdc17b1d1d49f0beec9f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,619,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,867,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,619,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 839 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Patriots | 28c | 116,037$32,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,223.05 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Chargers | 73c | 109,810$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,810.44 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Patriots | 11c | 101,702$11,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,655.09 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Patriots | 27c | 91,657$25,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,006.75 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Patriots | 10c | 89,583$8,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,691.39 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Patriots | 28c | 72,489$20,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,280.92 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Patriots | 10c | 52,849$5,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Chargers | 79c | 49,786$39,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,647.55 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Patriots | 0c | 49,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Patriots | 27c | 41,256$11,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,272.28 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Patriots | 12c | 36,633$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.62 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Patriots | 3c | 34,397$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.63 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Chargers | 72c | 30,542$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,541.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Patriots | 27c | 29,617$8,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,007.62 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Chargers | 70c | 27,143$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,142.86 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Patriots | 28c | 26,616$7,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,502.36 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Patriots | 26c | 26,009$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Chargers | 69c | 20,085$13,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,226.2 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Patriots | 31c | 18,544$5,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,703.39 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Patriots | 28c | 18,256$5,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,165.39 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Patriots | 6c | 17,203$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Patriots | 19c | 16,856$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.62 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Patriots | 30c | 16,092$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Patriots | 26c | 11,985$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.15 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Patriots | 27c | 11,758$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Chargers | 72c | 11,294$8,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Chargers | 73c | 10,545$7,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.21 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Patriots | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Patriots | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Patriots | 27c | 9,987$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.39 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Chargers | 73c | 9,980$7,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Patriots | 7c | 9,847$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.05 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Chargers | 71c | 8,508$6,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.55 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Patriots | 22c | 8,009$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Chargers | 72c | 7,804$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.14 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Patriots | 27c | 7,401$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Patriots | 26c | 7,038$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.93 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Patriots | 27c | 7,000$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Patriots | 27c | 6,787$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…824abacked Chargers | 76c | 5,942$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.5 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Chargers | 77c | 5,651$4,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.84 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Patriots | 7c | 5,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Patriots | 22c | 4,946$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.86 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Chargers | 73c | 4,728$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.88 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…77b6backed Chargers | 71c | 4,207$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Patriots | 5c | 4,153$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…5fd9backed Chargers | 72c | 4,021$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Patriots | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Chargers | 73c | 3,713$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Chargers | 68c | 3,674$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.89 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Patriots | 10c | 3,624$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.69 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Chargers | 73c | 3,562$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.64 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…fcfabacked Patriots | 28c | 3,393$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Patriots | 30c | 3,103$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.46 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Patriots | 33c | 3,089$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.26 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Chargers | 69c | 3,047$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.49 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Chargers | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Chargers | 72c | 3,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Chargers | 67c | 3,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Chargers | 70c | 2,952$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.63 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Chargers | 72c | 2,899$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…55d4backed Patriots | 2c | 2,826$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked Chargers | 69c | 2,790$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.84 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Chargers | 73c | 2,741$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.42 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Chargers | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Patriots | 27c | 2,354$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.93 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…98f8backed Patriots | 28c | 2,311$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Patriots | 25c | 2,300$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.99 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Patriots | 30c | 2,215$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…5291backed Chargers | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…a26dbacked Chargers | 73c | 2,022$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Chargers | 73c | 2,003$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.79 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Patriots | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Patriots | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chargers | 73c | 2,000$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Patriots | 31c | 2,000$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Patriots | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.98 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…7f3cbacked Chargers | 73c | 2,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Patriots | 28c | 1,881$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.59 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…3785backed Patriots | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Patriots | 14c | 1,784$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.09 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Chargers | 73c | 1,758$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.66 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Patriots | 7c | 1,691$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…1379backed Chargers | 74c | 1,622$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Patriots | 28c | 1,564$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Chargers | 73c | 1,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Chargers | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Chargers | 72c | 1,400$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.08 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…2271backed Chargers | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Chargers | 71c | 1,390$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.26 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…38bfbacked Patriots | 28c | 1,371$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…b0fcbacked Chargers | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…1c79backed Chargers | 73c | 1,350$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Patriots | 5c | 1,338$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecf…4270backed Chargers | 71c | 1,315$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…02fcbacked Patriots | 28c | 1,307$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…04e1backed Patriots | 3c | 1,294$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc618…bcc2backed Patriots | 26c | 1,293$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Chargers | 71c | 1,278$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Chargers | 73c | 1,230$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.