NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Browns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b286601fcf583ebe194ac9c57e746e2c3319b8dd6893daf0cfeea085e07a798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Chiefs, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $760,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $796,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 740 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Browns | 30c | 108,977$32,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,693.22 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Browns | 19c | 89,102$17,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,024.11 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…aca9backed Chiefs | 70c | 84,562$59,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,149.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Chiefs | 69c | 80,597$55,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,916.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Browns | 29c | 66,981$19,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,399.53 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Browns | 31c | 62,581$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200.23 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Browns | 29c | 53,970$15,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,768.21 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Chiefs | 79c | 38,461$30,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,064.77 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Chiefs | 70c | 27,170$19,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,151.01 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Chiefs | 69c | 23,000$15,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,129.94 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Chiefs | 70c | 15,856$11,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,764.31 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Chiefs | 68c | 15,445$10,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…4924backed Browns | 34c | 13,251$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Browns | 30c | 11,940$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.37 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Browns | 0c | 11,700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked Chiefs | 68c | 10,458$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Browns | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Browns | 3c | 9,000$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Browns | 32c | 8,892$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.36 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Browns | 30c | 8,802$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.21 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Browns | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.97 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Browns | 12c | 7,440$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.16 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Browns | 26c | 7,253$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.2 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Chiefs | 70c | 7,149$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.78 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Chiefs | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Chiefs | 72c | 6,500$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.82 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns | 26c | 6,226$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.32 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Chiefs | 67c | 5,730$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.07 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…8b1ebacked Chiefs | 67c | 5,661$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Browns | 30c | 5,461$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.75 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Browns | 33c | 5,131$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.38 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Chiefs | 78c | 5,000$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Chiefs | 69c | 4,501$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.12 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Browns | 18c | 3,835$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.93 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Browns | 32c | 3,748$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.64 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Chiefs | 69c | 3,239$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.39 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Browns | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Chiefs | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Chiefs | 70c | 2,978$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Browns | 31c | 2,923$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Chiefs | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed Chiefs | 76c | 2,790$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Browns | 30c | 2,743$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.64 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Browns | 33c | 2,538$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.2 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Chiefs | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Chiefs | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Browns | 32c | 2,404$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.78 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Chiefs | 70c | 2,395$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.44 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Chiefs | 70c | 2,200$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Chiefs | 68c | 2,198$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.32 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Browns | 2c | 2,089$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Browns | 12c | 2,059$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.75 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Chiefs | 70c | 1,787$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.13 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Browns | 20c | 1,674$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.13 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Browns | 5c | 1,595$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Browns | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Chiefs | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2e…6d35backed Browns | 31c | 1,429$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb169…1d6fbacked Chiefs | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…e961backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Browns | 31c | 1,419$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Browns | 32c | 1,416$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.23 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Browns | 14c | 1,407$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Chiefs | 71c | 1,403$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.74 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.15 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73c…4c41backed Chiefs | 69c | 1,320$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.12 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…ab49backed Browns | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,190$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Chiefs | 71c | 1,167$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.95 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,161$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.43 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Browns | 31c | 1,161$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Browns | 1c | 1,127$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Chiefs | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,071$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.43 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Chiefs | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Chiefs | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Chiefs | 67c | 999.95$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.32 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f8…9866backed Browns | 3c | 969.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…f3d2backed Chiefs | 70c | 961.41$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…3ae9backed Browns | 31c | 954.77$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Chiefs | 71c | 937.49$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Chiefs | 70c | 934.29$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…89ffbacked Browns | 8c | 928.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Chiefs | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Chiefs | 70c | 883.86$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…5a48backed Browns | 6c | 857.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Browns | 30c | 810.42$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.13 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…2c31backed Chiefs | 68c | 797.82$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422b…0dadbacked Browns | 30c | 795.44$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…a23fbacked Browns | 3c | 792.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…8ad8backed Chiefs | 70c | 787.27$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e38…ec7bbacked Chiefs | 67c | 783.01$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae11…ff1bbacked Chiefs | 69c | 778.51$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.34 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…b365backed Chiefs | 75c | 749.99$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Chiefs | 70c | 720$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Chiefs | 70c | 716$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Chiefs | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…6a86backed Chiefs | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Chiefs | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.