NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08da9f400f0b4a79be1a30d883bb2a9b57d5333546c26b5fea20965d094a2bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Grizzlies | 79c | 21,831$17,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.54 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 11c | 20,662$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.41 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Grizzlies | 78c | 20,085$15,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.2 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans | 22c | 15,847$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.77 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 11,685$9,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.38 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Pelicans | 22c | 9,059$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 77c | 7,273$5,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.02 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…5b30backed Grizzlies | 78c | 7,011$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Pelicans | 22c | 6,818$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 25c | 6,465$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.55 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 26c | 6,343$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 5c | 5,559$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.93 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Grizzlies | 75c | 5,555$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.75 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…4689backed Pelicans | 22c | 4,900$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pelicans | 26c | 4,307$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.79 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…3265backed Grizzlies | 78c | 4,119$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 21c | 4,100$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Grizzlies | 77c | 3,950$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.89 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaed…de05backed Pelicans | 22c | 3,700$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Pelicans | 22c | 3,697$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pelicans | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Pelicans | 20c | 2,495$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.89 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans | 25c | 2,483$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.16 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Grizzlies | 77c | 2,339$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.65 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 2c | 2,221$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…ce43backed Pelicans | 22c | 2,099$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 2,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Grizzlies | 78c | 1,933$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.07 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans | 20c | 1,664$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.49 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 23c | 1,664$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.79 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Pelicans | 26c | 1,145$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.51 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed Grizzlies | 79c | 1,111$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.91 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Pelicans | 26c | 1,051$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.9 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Pelicans | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Grizzlies | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pelicans | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Pelicans | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans | 22c | 968.41$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.37 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Pelicans | 26c | 936.21$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.21 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Grizzlies | 77c | 869.81$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.81 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pelicans | 26c | 851$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Pelicans | 2c | 799.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans | 26c | 784$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.68 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Pelicans | 2c | 775$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Pelicans | 16c | 701.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Grizzlies | 77c | 687.8$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Grizzlies | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans | 20c | 596.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Grizzlies | 80c | 588.75$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Pelicans | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Grizzlies | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Grizzlies | 79c | 470$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Pelicans | 25c | 444$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 25c | 429.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Grizzlies | 75c | 428$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Pelicans | 22c | 417.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Grizzlies | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans | 24c | 399.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 371$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e5…3dbbbacked Pelicans | 22c | 368.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies | 72c | 336.11$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Grizzlies | 76c | 315.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Pelicans | 22c | 315.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Grizzlies | 76c | 300$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Grizzlies | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Grizzlies | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Grizzlies | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 262.78$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Pelicans | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 254.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Grizzlies | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Pelicans | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…7352backed Pelicans | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…3bcabacked Grizzlies | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans | 11c | 249.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Pelicans | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…a9acbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 213.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…9d07backed Grizzlies | 75c | 200.85$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Grizzlies | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Pelicans | 17c | 195.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…81dfbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…0a71backed Pelicans | 26c | 186.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Grizzlies | 77c | 181.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Pelicans | 26c | 176.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…3c21backed Grizzlies | 79c | 174$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…9125backed Grizzlies | 78c | 166.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…aa1fbacked Grizzlies | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…7c06backed Grizzlies | 74c | 148.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…ee14backed Grizzlies | 75c | 141.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…4795backed Grizzlies | 74c | 136.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 121 | 63.6%77 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Grizzlies | 74c | 135.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Grizzlies | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…968abacked Grizzlies | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc035…ec07backed Grizzlies | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.