TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nets17c33,200$5,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,737.6925138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Nets18c19,041$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.7921649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Nets16c10,654$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.1122832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets18c8,879$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.461,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets21c8,507$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.7965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets19c7,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4251,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Nets1c7,258$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1142434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets7c6,487$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.4961532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets20c6,294$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.611,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Nets18c5,558$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3837627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecf8…f5cdbacked Nets18c3,499$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.3940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5453…b886backed Nets18c3,462$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe869…fc0ebacked Nets19c3,221$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6123225%8 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Nets18c3,030$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.44452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Nets17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9946928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.941,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets13c2,809$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.991,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nets18c2,706$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets19c2,466$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets19c2,300$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43446131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5e…6a2cbacked Nets17c2,284$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.271070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Nets18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3609724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Cavaliers79c1,679$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.543284.4%27 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked Nets18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+69.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Nets17c1,574$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x903c…b459backed Nets19c1,526$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902650%13 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Nets19c1,517$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.266229%18 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6009…acf9backed Nets19c1,505$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2863129%9 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Nets19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets14c1,300$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Nets19c1,210$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.46634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Nets18c1,185$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Nets21c1,144$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5913638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Nets4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c994.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.941,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccfb…376ebacked Nets17c974.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Nets22c834.74$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1548137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x979e…3d11backed Nets15c830.53$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1636…8c6abacked Nets17c799.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b31…e8ebbacked Cavaliers77c600$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406665.2%43 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nets18c572.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0385347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…8b15backed Nets19c549.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets25c545$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets17c529.44$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x026a…2f8abacked Nets18c473.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.074126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets4c430.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.87502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Nets19c410.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7818628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Nets19c394.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Nets17c351.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.737011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa715…15e2backed Nets12c326.88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.233619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Nets19c314.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.742165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x273b…37fcbacked Nets17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8d…46babacked Nets5c300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.151070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets21c279.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.721,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Nets19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8290…6a65backed Cavaliers80c250.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.834465.9%29 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets20c250$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Cavaliers78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5535165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Nets19c246.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.886238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc7…45b8backed Nets19c219.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.651353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Cavaliers74c216.03$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.176752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Nets26c211.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Nets20c158.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.423539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477a…2650backed Nets19c152.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed Nets20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8efc…9125backed Cavaliers80c129.86$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.971369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Cavaliers79c124.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1916341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20af…efadbacked Nets18c116$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xede9…94e5backed Nets19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+93.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0060…eb25backed Nets19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6217…1e1fbacked Cavaliers77c103.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Nets19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1925651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Nets19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Nets17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88de…5302backed Nets19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0bd…3e91backed Nets19c89.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Cavaliers80c83.4$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd629…58cbbacked Nets19c72.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fe9…e00ebacked Cavaliers80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53060%18 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5358…8a7cbacked Nets20c59.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…137cbacked Nets19c57.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb63…79debacked Nets19c57.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacdc…9461backed Nets19c54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Cavaliers80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08cf…818ebacked Cavaliers70c37.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5869…930fbacked Cavaliers78c26.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+65.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a1…3726backed Cavaliers77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972650%13 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa533…8a83backed Cavaliers78c24.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc942…2592backed Cavaliers78c22.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ddc…9d26backed Cavaliers79c21.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f8…d8febacked Cavaliers78c21.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c8…75bdbacked Cavaliers78c15.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.