NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fc20e2e7d1b43059823dab797a936dcb9aced1b2a0b31997f89ec80a56c9430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Hornets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Hornets | 64c | 14,600$9,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,290.06 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards | 39c | 11,733$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,159.54 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 11,150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 10c | 10,266$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 37c | 10,089$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,356.02 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Hornets | 61c | 5,012$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.3 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Hornets | 60c | 4,762$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.2 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 41c | 3,952$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.87 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Wizards | 38c | 2,721$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets | 22c | 2,283$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Hornets | 49c | 2,019$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.16 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 75c | 1,978$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.76 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…1504backed Hornets | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Hornets | 61c | 1,769$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Wizards | 39c | 1,677$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.31 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 38c | 1,618$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.84 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wizards | 37c | 1,503$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.54 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Hornets | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.98 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Wizards | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.91 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Hornets | 67c | 1,248$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.17 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Wizards | 36c | 1,217$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.47 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Wizards | 43c | 1,160$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.48 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 4c | 1,155$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…a7efbacked Wizards | 39c | 1,090$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…1eaabacked Hornets | 61c | 1,090$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Hornets | 63c | 1,078$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.36 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Wizards | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.67 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.65 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…f83abacked Hornets | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Wizards | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…c6e2backed Wizards | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Hornets | 62c | 999.93$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.96 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Hornets | 63c | 998.44$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.02 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…05f6backed Hornets | 73c | 980$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be3…abcdbacked Wizards | 27c | 980$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wizards | 38c | 969.07$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.82 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Wizards | 37c | 889.4$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.32 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Wizards | 42c | 868.98$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.24 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets | 55c | 789.91$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.96 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Wizards | 38c | 745.92$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.15 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25b8…79eabacked Hornets | 61c | 699.88$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e8…6022backed Wizards | 39c | 699.88$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Wizards | 38c | 680.94$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.1 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Wizards | 38c | 640$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.8 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6bfcbacked Wizards | 37c | 570$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa155…9517backed Hornets | 63c | 570$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Hornets | 60c | 568.09$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.64 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…77fdbacked Hornets | 63c | 567$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…d51ebacked Wizards | 37c | 567$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Hornets | 62c | 555.27$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.26 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Wizards | 45c | 510.73$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.76 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hornets | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…2a14backed Hornets | 63c | 485.89$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Hornets | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…277dbacked Hornets | 63c | 454$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b09…1df4backed Wizards | 38c | 454$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Hornets | 64c | 450$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Wizards | 38c | 449.92$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.95 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…8012backed Wizards | 37c | 434$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…69fbbacked Hornets | 63c | 434$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Wizards | 36c | 429.46$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.66 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…cc0bbacked Wizards | 37c | 410$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9b…c374backed Hornets | 63c | 410$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Hornets | 60c | 401.77$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4517backed Hornets | 62c | 369.25$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Wizards | 50c | 359.45$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…5369backed Hornets | 61c | 350.36$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff5…314cbacked Wizards | 39c | 350.36$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hornets | 17c | 330.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Hornets | 62c | 325$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Hornets | 48c | 323.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Hornets | 65c | 307.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets | 64c | 300$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Hornets | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…02c9backed Hornets | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…3232backed Wizards | 37c | 266$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…2883backed Hornets | 63c | 266$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…b17bbacked Hornets | 61c | 258.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f7…fea9backed Wizards | 39c | 258.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 62c | 255$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.09 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…b69bbacked Hornets | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Wizards | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…9e20backed Hornets | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Hornets | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Wizards | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…6623backed Wizards | 39c | 222.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…0917backed Hornets | 61c | 222.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Hornets | 41c | 221.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Wizards | 38c | 219.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Hornets | 63c | 201.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Wizards | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Hornets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…3e31backed Wizards | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Hornets | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…7f85backed Wizards | 37c | 197.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Hornets | 74c | 196.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fac…4eebbacked Wizards | 37c | 189.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Wizards | 37c | 183.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.