NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe196e8e3eac54bb6d881e4d8d6b9f2e4bcdc898b6e77e0524edf3f5eacd52da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Ducks, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Ducks | 12c | 5,394$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.27 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ducks | 11c | 2,575$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.24 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Ducks | 39c | 1,276$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 76c | 1,000$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.77 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights | 60c | 786.28$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.51 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 2c | 777.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 78c | 752.82$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.18 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 7c | 707.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Golden Knights | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 24c | 646.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Golden Knights | 68c | 601.72$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Ducks | 26c | 599.62$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Ducks | 24c | 576.68$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ducks | 23c | 532.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Ducks | 23c | 453.44$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Ducks | 26c | 431.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Ducks | 24c | 416.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Golden Knights | 71c | 350$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Ducks | 38c | 339.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…1c32backed Golden Knights | 76c | 299.51$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…7c59backed Golden Knights | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Ducks | 18c | 255.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 25c | 254.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks | 24c | 247.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ducks | 28c | 231.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 5c | 224.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Golden Knights | 76c | 214.01$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Ducks | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…720abacked Golden Knights | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Ducks | 28c | 179.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Ducks | 28c | 178.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 16c | 167.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Ducks | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…b3d2backed Golden Knights | 76c | 159.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 25c | 133.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…94c3backed Golden Knights | 76c | 131.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…e36dbacked Golden Knights | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Golden Knights | 75c | 130.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 119.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Ducks | 26c | 102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Ducks | 26c | 102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Golden Knights | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Golden Knights | 77c | 99.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…f1e8backed Ducks | 34c | 90.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…483cbacked Golden Knights | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4d…10d6backed Golden Knights | 73c | 71.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…00e4backed Golden Knights | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Golden Knights | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Golden Knights | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89a…9496backed Golden Knights | 73c | 63.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89d…b80ebacked Golden Knights | 75c | 62.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…b75cbacked Ducks | 25c | 59.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…f766backed Ducks | 25c | 58.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Golden Knights | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…82b5backed Golden Knights | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…f8d5backed Golden Knights | 76c | 52.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Golden Knights | 74c | 52.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…3e33backed Golden Knights | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cc…c3edbacked Golden Knights | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Golden Knights | 73c | 49.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…726cbacked Golden Knights | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…4c31backed Ducks | 28c | 44.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…3628backed Golden Knights | 77c | 44.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7036…977abacked Golden Knights | 75c | 43.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Ducks | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Golden Knights | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2211…9cecbacked Golden Knights | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Golden Knights | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed Golden Knights | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…f03cbacked Golden Knights | 73c | 35.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…f81dbacked Golden Knights | 71c | 33.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…eceebacked Golden Knights | 75c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Golden Knights | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked Golden Knights | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…71edbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 32.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…bee0backed Golden Knights | 72c | 32.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…2a06backed Golden Knights | 75c | 31.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37f…feb2backed Golden Knights | 76c | 31.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…b260backed Golden Knights | 75c | 31.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…000bbacked Golden Knights | 75c | 31.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…097abacked Golden Knights | 72c | 31.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…0476backed Golden Knights | 74c | 31.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…11f0backed Golden Knights | 75c | 30.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260e…0c83backed Golden Knights | 75c | 30.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3411…b032backed Golden Knights | 74c | 30.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…1f45backed Golden Knights | 72c | 30.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e70…0482backed Golden Knights | 75c | 30.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…a589backed Golden Knights | 75c | 30.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…fe82backed Golden Knights | 75c | 30.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724e…da2bbacked Golden Knights | 75c | 30.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…a590backed Golden Knights | 74c | 30.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0834…e463backed Golden Knights | 74c | 29.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…76b5backed Golden Knights | 76c | 29.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…848dbacked Golden Knights | 74c | 29.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d0…c561backed Golden Knights | 75c | 29.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…8adbbacked Golden Knights | 75c | 27.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…e54fbacked Golden Knights | 71c | 27.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Golden Knights | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…d4cfbacked Golden Knights | 75c | 26.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.