TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$472,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa22b…3525backed Magic37c57,256$21,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,322.813534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Magic0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Magic29c36,554$10,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,621.1511842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824c…d2bbbacked Magic30c34,454$10,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,503.324238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Magic14c32,504$4,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,676.2861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Knicks63c28,560$18,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,489.8315056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Knicks70c28,284$19,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,540.949952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Knicks63c26,594$16,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,884.5119350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1fa…53a6backed Magic0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks64c19,213$12,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,946.523,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Magic40c16,250$6,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,469.2947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb610…fa36backed Knicks70c13,888$9,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,166.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaff…7d46backed Magic30c11,899$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,569.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks72c9,322$6,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.7965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Knicks70c7,215$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.4213140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Magic30c7,033$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.431,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks72c6,519$4,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.631,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Knicks63c4,977$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.332544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Magic27c4,939$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.1328256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks65c4,604$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.531,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Knicks80c4,268$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.238451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdea3…5d7bbacked Magic29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7896…3e00backed Magic32c2,270$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.312142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x529d…47cfbacked Knicks66c2,239$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.962133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Knicks71c2,200$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6386167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic19c2,000$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3741,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bed…43b2backed Magic30c1,993$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.91729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Knicks70c1,948$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.9473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Magic2c1,666$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.861,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Knicks65c1,592$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.4225957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Knicks68c1,545$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.430351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Magic34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51025651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…9860backed Knicks69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Magic28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9737954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Magic36c1,402$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.744045%18 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Knicks65c1,390$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6229661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaa…0af8backed Knicks69c1,250$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+78.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Magic1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Knicks66c1,081$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.5417141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic27c1,064$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.491,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Magic1c1,022$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.247538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Knicks71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31bf…6577backed Magic29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Magic31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3108040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Magic32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Magic32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic29c999.6$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8829148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Magic29c999.59$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.887741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4391…1f2cbacked Knicks72c976.65$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1b…496abacked Magic30c974.89$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e8…32b3backed Knicks71c941.33$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Knicks76c906.41$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1770951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4b…f6dbbacked Magic41c881.47$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4575…9099backed Magic29c835.59$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.173250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Magic38c831.33$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Magic3c820$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9043…f2d3backed Magic30c807.07$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66f7…2bebbacked Knicks72c806.94$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Knicks69c768.4$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24126235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f6…673abacked Knicks69c750$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+45.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Knicks68c741.46$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.275151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0041…e598backed Knicks61c741.29$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.332445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Knicks69c713$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.0377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Magic30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015940.3%64 W · 95 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Magic2c649.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Knicks71c644.86$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.013053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabdb…4f06backed Magic31c631.08$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Knicks57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25823835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Knicks80c580.6$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1221357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcddd…04e1backed Knicks80c576.2$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+89.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Knicks71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3856348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Knicks70c561.97$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5911662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe4…f348backed Magic18c553.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic35c533.51$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1389353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Magic29c528.84$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.21,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic20c500$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Magic29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14513341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Knicks71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed Knicks59c499.99$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2075330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Magic30c499.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Magic20c493.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Knicks70c482.45$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.959646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Knicks70c430.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4925865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1efd…1106backed Knicks71c422.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.791376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Magic36c419.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Knicks64c390$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.322955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Knicks71c368.76$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.428657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Magic31c350$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Knicks71c349.78$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.787558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8117…3405backed Knicks71c349.3$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.31060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d38…2122backed Knicks68c339.86$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.86650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Magic30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb338…ad5bbacked Magic30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf689…8b15backed Knicks68c333$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.561464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Knicks70c328.57$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5746928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Knicks68c327.43$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1420245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Knicks56c324.99$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1436851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Knicks70c324.05$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2226049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Knicks72c321.69$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.656160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.