NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43cb75010aefd09fb3cb7084a2701ac34e73ce28a221e298e23542b2322d89c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Sharks | 24c | 14,390$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,992.27 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 13,150$7,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,682.9 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…69e7backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 13,061$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sharks | 44c | 9,798$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.1 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Sharks | 38c | 6,487$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 22c | 4,306$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.58 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 3,946$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 3,175$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.95 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks | 22c | 2,781$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.85 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sharks | 22c | 2,200$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.86 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Sharks | 24c | 2,076$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.51 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sharks | 70c | 1,821$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.6 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…e6cfbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 1,471$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Sharks | 24c | 1,468$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.36 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Sharks | 25c | 1,377$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.45 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks | 26c | 1,335$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.9 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Maple Leafs | 72c | 1,300$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…6ff2backed Sharks | 25c | 1,297$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Sharks | 24c | 997$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 950$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Sharks | 24c | 950$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 23c | 809.22$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.11 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 715.79$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks | 24c | 705$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.06 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…d4d2backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 537.57$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 525$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…f9a9backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Sharks | 25c | 514.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.93 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…0cb9backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 508.53$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.77 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks | 28c | 492.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.39 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 484.62$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 477.94$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 456.35$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.79 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 455$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.9 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac37…b425backed Sharks | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Maple Leafs | 74c | 430$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.2 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 421.83$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 365.83$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 314.25$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…9937backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 307.69$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 306$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Sharks | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 294.11$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Sharks | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 267.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…9e66backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 251.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed Sharks | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Sharks | 41c | 246.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Sharks | 41c | 243.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…a16dbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 178.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 174.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 26c | 163.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Sharks | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…de1cbacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 144.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…72f9backed Sharks | 25c | 139.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 131.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…fd0fbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 73c | 123.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Sharks | 39c | 117.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sharks | 23c | 115$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Sharks | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Sharks | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d31…a864backed Sharks | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Sharks | 19c | 90$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…9e8cbacked Sharks | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Maple Leafs | 75c | 83.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…e12fbacked Sharks | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0279…71b4backed Sharks | 24c | 73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Maple Leafs | 74c | 72.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908f…d651backed Sharks | 24c | 72.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 40cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…2c94backed Sharks | 23c | 72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…459fbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…3404backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 69.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Sharks | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…f837backed Sharks | 24c | 69.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…9ed4backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 68.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa51d…fcb3backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 68.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…2d25backed Sharks | 24c | 68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…0f97backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 67.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…ec79backed Sharks | 24c | 66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 65.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…8080backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 65.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…28b8backed Sharks | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d2…836ebacked Sharks | 24c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.