NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c8937cafa83df4c6aabef9f530bfd85c2bf71360dc62b964cad5ddfc3c4036b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 25c | 6,506$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.05 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Suns | 78c | 5,644$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.77 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Suns | 69c | 5,390$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.27 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 32c | 4,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns | 5c | 3,859$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pacers | 35c | 3,671$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.31 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Suns | 31c | 3,237$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.22 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Suns | 1c | 2,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Pacers | 73c | 2,281$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.27 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Suns | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers | 28c | 1,962$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.36 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Suns | 59c | 1,790$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.18 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Suns | 69c | 1,451$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.01 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Suns | 3c | 1,442$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 9c | 1,402$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Pacers | 54c | 1,378$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Suns | 69c | 1,322$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.25 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Suns | 18c | 1,305$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.41 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 40c | 1,219$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Pacers | 38c | 1,196$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.36 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Suns | 62c | 942.98$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.75 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pacers | 31c | 907.78$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.91 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…0081backed Pacers | 28c | 888.02$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.37 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +144%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb5…b6b6backed Suns | 72c | 888$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 80c | 858.13$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.47 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Suns | 69c | 857.62$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.76 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Pacers | 79c | 848.13$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Pacers | 33c | 779.66$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.46 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Suns | 72c | 765.06$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Pacers | 79c | 746.41$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Suns | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Pacers | 34c | 579.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.38 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Pacers | 30c | 556.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.52 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea5f…8d3dbacked Pacers | 79c | 540$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Pacers | 39c | 516.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.34 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Suns | 69c | 512.11$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.36 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pacers | 31c | 505$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.24 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Suns | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers | 29c | 493$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.89 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 30c | 485$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…f09cbacked Pacers | 44c | 468.39$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Suns | 69c | 432.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns | 42c | 421.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.81 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Pacers | 31c | 359.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.02 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Suns | 16c | 340$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Suns | 59c | 327.32$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Suns | 66c | 324.24$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Suns | 69c | 321.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Suns | 68c | 318.7$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.71 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Suns | 71c | 302.5$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Suns | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Suns | 68c | 300$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns | 71c | 299.89$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns | 61c | 299.19$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Suns | 71c | 298.57$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Pacers | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…f8d5backed Suns | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Pacers | 66c | 273.1$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Suns | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…804fbacked Pacers | 77c | 258.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Pacers | 30c | 227.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.01 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Suns | 71c | 226.76$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Suns | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…a9cabacked Suns | 71c | 213.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…5139backed Pacers | 30c | 211.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Suns | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…dc82backed Suns | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Suns | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pacers | 30c | 192.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…ed8dbacked Suns | 22c | 160.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Pacers | 29c | 159.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Pacers | 44c | 158.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Suns | 66c | 154.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd5…d16fbacked Suns | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Pacers | 29c | 142.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Suns | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Suns | 71c | 140.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…bf06backed Suns | 69c | 136.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Pacers | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Suns | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Suns | 69c | 123.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Pacers | 29c | 120.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…2bd3backed Suns | 71c | 116.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Pacers | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Suns | 36c | 112.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Suns | 19c | 103.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Suns | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Pacers | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c9…e2ddbacked Pacers | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Suns | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fe…9046backed Suns | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Pacers | 29c | 99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…e287backed Pacers | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…6f41backed Suns | 48c | 74.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Suns | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…99acbacked Suns | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…5038backed Suns | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.