College Football · resolved market
Western Kentucky vs. James Madison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe75829c35df577ef3b409d5b84fcee736ba1d8a4bc0f49864de2e57b92889d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madisonof Western Kentucky, James Madison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Western Kentucky | 26c | 11,576$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.66 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Western Kentucky | 19c | 8,991$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.23 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed James Madison | 69c | 7,277$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.63 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Western Kentucky | 27c | 7,078$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.44 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Western Kentucky | 25c | 6,473$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed James Madison | 76c | 5,951$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed James Madison | 62c | 4,314$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.19 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked James Madison | 77c | 3,486$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.79 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Western Kentucky | 17c | 3,483$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…d28dbacked James Madison | 74c | 3,448$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…3f9fbacked Western Kentucky | 24c | 3,446$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Western Kentucky | 22c | 3,433$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.93 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Western Kentucky | 26c | 2,604$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.22 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Western Kentucky | 61c | 2,577$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked James Madison | 78c | 2,550$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.76 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed James Madison | 73c | 2,365$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.13 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Western Kentucky | 3c | 2,182$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Western Kentucky | 30c | 2,147$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked James Madison | 75c | 2,126$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed James Madison | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed James Madison | 74c | 1,880$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.54 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed James Madison | 75c | 1,866$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…b62ebacked Western Kentucky | 44c | 1,757$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Western Kentucky | 27c | 1,666$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.67 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Western Kentucky | 26c | 1,626$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.44 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked James Madison | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Western Kentucky | 21c | 1,470$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Western Kentucky | 63c | 1,270$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Western Kentucky | 2c | 1,245$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Western Kentucky | 27c | 1,150$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed James Madison | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…118fbacked James Madison | 71c | 1,068$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a34…9ae5backed Western Kentucky | 29c | 1,068$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…05f6backed Western Kentucky | 30c | 1,003$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be3…abcdbacked James Madison | 70c | 1,003$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Western Kentucky | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…6accbacked James Madison | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…eaf1backed Western Kentucky | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked James Madison | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed James Madison | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Western Kentucky | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…ab49backed Western Kentucky | 21c | 924.43$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…9b45backed James Madison | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…94f2backed Western Kentucky | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Western Kentucky | 14c | 900$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…9182backed James Madison | 69c | 860$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…1537backed Western Kentucky | 31c | 860$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked James Madison | 76c | 853.29$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…477fbacked James Madison | 74c | 850$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked James Madison | 75c | 726.24$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Western Kentucky | 32c | 725.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Western Kentucky | 46c | 721.79$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Western Kentucky | 6c | 702.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5311…512ebacked Western Kentucky | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…102abacked James Madison | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…2453backed Western Kentucky | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…e250backed Western Kentucky | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…1c1abacked James Madison | 71c | 690$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…b8a4backed James Madison | 73c | 686.3$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Western Kentucky | 25c | 671.31$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed James Madison | 75c | 667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed James Madison | 71c | 656.37$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.35 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked James Madison | 77c | 635.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…cbddbacked Western Kentucky | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Western Kentucky | 32c | 545$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Western Kentucky | 15c | 540.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Western Kentucky | 25c | 530.38$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed James Madison | 59c | 504.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Western Kentucky | 7c | 499.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Western Kentucky | 25c | 499.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed James Madison | 73c | 477.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked James Madison | 44c | 473.33$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed James Madison | 73c | 461.77$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb522…4d42backed Western Kentucky | 26c | 450$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…5c35backed Western Kentucky | 25c | 446.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…2205backed James Madison | 74c | 446.74$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadc3…1f67backed Western Kentucky | 12c | 445.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…13dbbacked James Madison | 74c | 440$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Western Kentucky | 14c | 439.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed James Madison | 75c | 433.96$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed James Madison | 69c | 400.97$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…afc0backed Western Kentucky | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…03b7backed James Madison | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed James Madison | 76c | 398.4$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked James Madison | 73c | 395.85$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Western Kentucky | 11c | 395.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Western Kentucky | 26c | 390.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed James Madison | 67c | 390.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.33 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3af…bbd7backed James Madison | 75c | 386.12$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Western Kentucky | 36c | 385.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Western Kentucky | 7c | 377.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a46…f5e6backed Western Kentucky | 26c | 370$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…81cabacked James Madison | 78c | 354.22$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed James Madison | 45c | 347.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked James Madison | 76c | 338.66$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560c…22ecbacked Western Kentucky | 26c | 338.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…9b56backed James Madison | 75c | 320$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Western Kentucky | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Western Kentucky | 28c | 310.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…6c21backed James Madison | 73c | 310$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.