Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad beat Dynamo Kyiv?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2aa35abc1c3b2b05309790e1ddb2bef1a77290f959e23beb979acb893cd95ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86df…eaf6backed Yes | 75c | 10,630$7,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 25c | 4,714$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.54 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 79c | 897.73$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.73 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 24c | 762.88$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 29c | 721.86$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 26c | 681.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 26c | 666.47$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…2b10backed Yes | 76c | 457.16$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 26c | 368$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 78c | 357.44$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…4678backed Yes | 72c | 345.43$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed No | 29c | 299.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3676…c975backed Yes | 72c | 268.39$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 72c | 224$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 26c | 215$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes | 71c | 139.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…710bbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Yes | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 77c | 104$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Yes | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…d5c7backed Yes | 76c | 70.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…59ffbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed Yes | 76c | 63.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321b…f57abacked Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…40e9backed Yes | 76c | 47.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…c3febacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…3e33backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…63bbbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…b62ebacked Yes | 71c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ff…7a3bbacked Yes | 70c | 19.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fd…e65abacked Yes | 70c | 14.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…f87cbacked Yes | 70c | 14.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…d066backed Yes | 70c | 14.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…2346backed Yes | 70c | 14.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…391cbacked Yes | 71c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…64cabacked Yes | 72c | 14.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad beat Dynamo Kyiv?this page
- Will Dynamo Kyiv beat Real Sociedad?No won
- Will the match between Real Sociedad and Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.