NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98b5aa3f813db1fe63d65ea82de03854313fb643e2561ce2b51a1b051b8c293a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Predators | 59c | 5,502$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.26 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Penguins | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Predators | 78c | 3,762$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.48 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Penguins | 70c | 3,037$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.52 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Penguins | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Penguins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Predators | 60c | 1,825$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.74 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Predators | 58c | 1,614$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.26 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…89babacked Penguins | 25c | 1,290$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 41cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Predators | 7c | 1,100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Penguins | 14c | 1,068$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Penguins | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Predators | 58c | 989.99$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.99 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Predators | 72c | 777.08$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.4 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…fd12backed Predators | 60c | 630$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9b…331dbacked Penguins | 40c | 629.1$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 19c | 409.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.45 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Predators | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 41c | 321.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.16 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…8a29backed Predators | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Penguins | 18c | 255$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 41c | 254.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Penguins | 47c | 214.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Predators | 60c | 212.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 43c | 199.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 40c | 196.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Penguins | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Predators | 62c | 171.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Predators | 63c | 159.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Penguins | 48c | 149.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Predators | 62c | 119.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Penguins | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Predators | 43c | 111.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Predators | 65c | 106.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Predators | 60c | 104.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Penguins | 43c | 103.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Penguins | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Penguins | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 43c | 99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c4…ac9dbacked Penguins | 44c | 95.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…954abacked Predators | 57c | 95.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…daaabacked Penguins | 44c | 91.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Penguins | 42c | 90.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Penguins | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771e…3675backed Predators | 57c | 88.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Predators | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Penguins | 30c | 82.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Predators | 50c | 71.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Penguins | 42c | 67.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x318c…2f96backed Predators | 57c | 65.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…6877backed Predators | 50c | 56.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…03b1backed Predators | 58c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…ed8dbacked Penguins | 45c | 55.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Penguins | 45c | 53.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…9fd0backed Penguins | 47c | 52.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…6f79backed Predators | 58c | 50.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Penguins | 44c | 50.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…8f8ebacked Predators | 57c | 50.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb3…9d10backed Penguins | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Penguins | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…6050backed Penguins | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Penguins | 45c | 44.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Penguins | 39c | 44.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked Predators | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28a…ab47backed Penguins | 43c | 41.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…e36dbacked Penguins | 47c | 41.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Penguins | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f17…6b99backed Penguins | 44c | 40.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7e…ed09backed Predators | 59c | 40.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cad…3079backed Predators | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a76…0af2backed Penguins | 42c | 39.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…da79backed Predators | 59c | 39.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…31c7backed Predators | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb479…61b5backed Predators | 59c | 36.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e41fbacked Penguins | 41c | 36.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Penguins | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…810bbacked Predators | 54c | 35.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…c30cbacked Penguins | 46c | 35.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb041…cd21backed Penguins | 41c | 35.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…fd65backed Predators | 60c | 35.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…9b0dbacked Predators | 59c | 35.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…cc65backed Penguins | 41c | 35.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…798bbacked Predators | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b8…3790backed Predators | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea99…9fa8backed Penguins | 44c | 34.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…6337backed Predators | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f9…9c86backed Predators | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…9075backed Penguins | 41c | 33.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc7…45b8backed Predators | 58c | 33.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…6094backed Predators | 59c | 33.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…866bbacked Penguins | 45c | 33.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Predators | 58c | 33.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…77bbbacked Predators | 59c | 32.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…b0b1backed Penguins | 40c | 32.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Predators | 56c | 30.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…1c32backed Penguins | 44c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…4b4dbacked Predators | 51c | 29.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…a9dcbacked Penguins | 40c | 29.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.