NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x174b42d7a8f351ffd49b95215bf684ef9a735b10d3bf394f25e6f7ffae290a35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Colts, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $795,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $855,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $795,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Colts | 63c | 89,318$56,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,478.06 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Colts | 46c | 89,210$41,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,376.68 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Giants | 73c | 83,403$60,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,813.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Colts | 74c | 60,000$44,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,399.95 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 40c | 39,210$15,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,718.62 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Giants | 64c | 29,578$18,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,672.56 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Colts | 16c | 26,764$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.53 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Giants | 23c | 26,500$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,514.79 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Giants | 33c | 21,161$7,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,146.04 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Colts | 35c | 17,916$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.49 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Giants | 24c | 17,366$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,177.72 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Giants | 50c | 16,805$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,394.73 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Giants | 61c | 15,523$9,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,998.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Giants | 29c | 15,366$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,858.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed Colts | 67c | 15,052$10,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,060.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Giants | 34c | 13,954$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,163.96 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Colts | 16c | 12,842$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.66 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Giants | 22c | 12,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.96 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Giants | 69c | 11,296$7,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.38 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Colts | 79c | 10,294$8,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,132.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Colts | 56c | 10,085$5,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.29 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Giants | 22c | 10,010$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,807.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Colts | 41c | 7,984$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Giants | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739.74 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Colts | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Colts | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Colts | 64c | 5,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Colts | 79c | 4,124$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.8 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Colts | 49c | 4,091$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.49 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Giants | 23c | 4,038$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.63 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Giants | 63c | 3,455$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…187fbacked Colts | 79c | 3,333$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Colts | 79c | 3,165$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Colts | 65c | 3,067$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Colts | 33c | 3,032$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Colts | 60c | 3,000$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Giants | 62c | 2,710$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.06 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Colts | 34c | 2,697$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.59 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Giants | 22c | 2,509$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.93 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Colts | 7c | 2,490$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Colts | 42c | 2,161$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Colts | 44c | 2,000$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Colts | 79c | 2,000$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.55 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Giants | 73c | 1,917$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Giants | 52c | 1,844$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.67 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Giants | 53c | 1,780$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.8 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Colts | 41c | 1,580$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.99 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Colts | 70c | 1,560$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.9 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Colts | 78c | 1,519$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Giants | 63c | 1,507$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.54 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Colts | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Colts | 47c | 1,329$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.43 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Giants | 61c | 1,300$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Giants | 22c | 1,273$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.73 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Giants | 63c | 1,179$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.68 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Colts | 4c | 1,110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…86c6backed Colts | 5c | 1,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Giants | 74c | 1,071$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.2 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Giants | 43c | 1,071$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.6 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Giants | 70c | 1,005$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.48 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Colts | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Colts | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Colts | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Colts | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…b0fcbacked Colts | 54c | 934.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Giants | 67c | 924.68$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.73 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Colts | 51c | 860.15$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.74 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Giants | 66c | 808.39$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Giants | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Giants | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Colts | 55c | 775.27$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.91 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecf…4270backed Colts | 79c | 687.34$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Giants | 51c | 675.31$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…f991backed Giants | 32c | 653.03$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.79 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Colts | 78c | 650$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…a9b3backed Giants | 67c | 632.97$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Colts | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Giants | 77c | 605.61$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Giants | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Giants | 22c | 600$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Colts | 75c | 600$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Giants | 21c | 580.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Giants | 22c | 550.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Giants | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Giants | 23c | 520$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…978abacked Colts | 79c | 508.33$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Colts | 77c | 500.01$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.01 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Giants | 21c | 477$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.83 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Colts | 78c | 470$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.6 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Giants | 71c | 463.15$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Colts | 41c | 419.94$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.82 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Colts | 79c | 418.73$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.8 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Giants | 69c | 401.74$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Giants | 70c | 400$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Giants | 21c | 399.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.77 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Colts | 65c | 398.42$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Colts | 51c | 388.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…7c59backed Colts | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Colts | 58c | 378.14$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Giants | 24c | 373.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.