MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cd72bd96adf3fbc48a9adfd3a316642999921222a2f3d293db79f6aedb92677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Padres, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Padres | 52c | 10,422$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.97 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…5e09backed Blue Jays | 21c | 9,998$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,898.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +224.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…af51backed Padres | 79c | 9,998$7,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,898.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Blue Jays | 47c | 8,129$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 5,565$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.33 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…77f5backed Padres | 50c | 5,007$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Padres | 51c | 4,574$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.25 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 50c | 4,572$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.66 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 4,096$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.12 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Padres | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.98 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 3,675$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.42 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Blue Jays | 46c | 3,668$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.97 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 39c | 2,314$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…a5dabacked Blue Jays | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…6f33backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Padres | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…e818backed Padres | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 65c | 1,979$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Padres | 51c | 1,975$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…8bb6backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…f937backed Padres | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…c203backed Padres | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472f…d066backed Padres | 54c | 996$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…fed2backed Padres | 54c | 989$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Padres | 35c | 931$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.85 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 8c | 751.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Padres | 36c | 703.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…d3d1backed Blue Jays | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Padres | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Padres | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Blue Jays | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Padres | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 368$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 53c | 356.58$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays | 20c | 331.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.1 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Padres | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Padres | 6c | 280.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 277.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Padres | 80c | 273.75$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 247.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Padres | 51c | 208.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…6143backed Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Padres | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Padres | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 63c | 158.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…59c8backed Blue Jays | 47c | 119.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…5ecfbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 117.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…14fbbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 113.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Padres | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Padres | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Padres | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…bba7backed Padres | 55c | 99.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…8238backed Blue Jays | 47c | 96.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…6c84backed Padres | 55c | 92.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Padres | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…21a4backed Padres | 55c | 89.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…da42backed Padres | 55c | 82.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…25b3backed Padres | 55c | 82.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29d2backed Blue Jays | 47c | 81.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Padres | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…7a9dbacked Padres | 50c | 66.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…4816backed Padres | 50c | 65.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…80a0backed Blue Jays | 51c | 65.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…8fd7backed Blue Jays | 51c | 64.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Padres | 51c | 62.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…6c3abacked Padres | 54c | 60.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…8d83backed Blue Jays | 46c | 58.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Padres | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…41d5backed Padres | 54c | 57.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…eee8backed Blue Jays | 47c | 56.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…f1e0backed Blue Jays | 52c | 53.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…ae93backed Padres | 49c | 53.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…c14abacked Padres | 50c | 52.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…d4a0backed Blue Jays | 52c | 51.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Blue Jays | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Padres | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Padres | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 71c | 37.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 41c | 34.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Blue Jays | 46c | 31.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 55c | 30.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…eab1backed Padres | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.