NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74bc7f2c7bc0b1f73f091289b9f4c2fd4594564683c9e0ecdf228de1a61a8359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Kings | 1c | 30,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Kings | 31c | 10,129$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.03 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…4488backed Lakers | 36c | 10,004$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,402.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…c119backed Kings | 64c | 10,002$6,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,401.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Kings | 58c | 8,287$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.95 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Lakers | 73c | 8,211$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.91 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lakers | 58c | 6,119$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.06 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Lakers | 52c | 5,829$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lakers | 54c | 5,684$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.42 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Kings | 59c | 4,791$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kings | 38c | 3,883$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.02 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 48c | 3,862$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 38c | 3,838$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.04 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Lakers | 30c | 2,422$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.51 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings | 51c | 2,253$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.45 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Kings | 62c | 2,125$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.04 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Lakers | 38c | 2,122$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.69 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 40c | 1,663$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.2 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings | 68c | 1,603$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.69 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Kings | 52c | 1,540$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Lakers | 71c | 1,401$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Lakers | 45c | 1,394$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.44 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 65c | 1,390$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.47 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 10c | 1,300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 3c | 1,277$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Lakers | 51c | 1,265$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.82 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…376ebacked Lakers | 36c | 1,255$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Kings | 63c | 1,136$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.35 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…0081backed Lakers | 39c | 1,066$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.26 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +144%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb5…b6b6backed Kings | 61c | 1,066$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Kings | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Lakers | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Lakers | 45c | 948.7$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.39 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Lakers | 50c | 850$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings | 56c | 801.37$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.77 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…1eaabacked Kings | 59c | 800.02$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…a7efbacked Lakers | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Kings | 57c | 768.03$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.1 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Kings | 48c | 757.6$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.97 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Lakers | 59c | 700$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Kings | 49c | 700$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Lakers | 54c | 694.92$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.12 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Lakers | 39c | 683.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.15 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Kings | 52c | 670.2$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.17 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Lakers | 40c | 645.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.33 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd693…b98bbacked Kings | 63c | 624.9$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…0fccbacked Kings | 64c | 610$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…9f3abacked Lakers | 36c | 610$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…a653backed Lakers | 37c | 563.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 55c | 542.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Lakers | 69c | 511.72$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 62c | 504.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.07 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f5…7326backed Kings | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Kings | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…f293backed Lakers | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Kings | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Kings | 63c | 467.95$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.81 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Kings | 62c | 461.11$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.89 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lakers | 36c | 452.84$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.65 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Lakers | 61c | 449.59$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Kings | 45c | 437.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Lakers | 47c | 429.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Lakers | 47c | 427.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.57 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Kings | 59c | 420.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…73c9backed Lakers | 51c | 391.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Lakers | 36c | 366$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 63c | 359.38$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Kings | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings | 63c | 347.44$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.89 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Lakers | 45c | 343.69$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.22 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Kings | 63c | 332.22$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Lakers | 37c | 320$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…21f8backed Kings | 62c | 319.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Lakers | 36c | 314$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.96 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Lakers | 37c | 312.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…dc82backed Kings | 35c | 307.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Kings | 65c | 306.84$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.11 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…6422backed Lakers | 57c | 300$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Kings | 50c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Lakers | 62c | 282.81$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Lakers | 37c | 282.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.03 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings | 53c | 281.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…f83abacked Kings | 64c | 280$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…470bbacked Lakers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 215 | 62.8%135 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Lakers | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Lakers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Lakers | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lakers | 50c | 242.93$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.56 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Kings | 64c | 233.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Kings | 44c | 226.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 45c | 215.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Lakers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Kings | 48c | 212.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Kings | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.