TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Kraken, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b88…d628backed Blackhawks69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9305534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Kraken23c2,848$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.7632331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blackhawks44c1,739$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Kraken57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.997549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken7c1,330$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.691,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kraken3c1,231$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.67450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Kraken56c1,070$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.33842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Blackhawks41c1,069$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.8431849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kraken59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken31c893.01$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.831,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blackhawks43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899a…a312backed Blackhawks43c460$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9b…a9abbacked Kraken57c427.06$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba35…ed82backed Kraken57c368.02$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e34…8163backed Blackhawks43c368$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Blackhawks43c305.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.518136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…7e7bbacked Kraken59c286.53$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks43c255$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blackhawks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Blackhawks43c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11529847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blackhawks42c199.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.991,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Kraken58c195.74$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1113562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Blackhawks70c161$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.32948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Kraken57c156.65$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2910451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Blackhawks48c152.95$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7413241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa972…ce87backed Blackhawks45c150.02$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993d…a26abacked Blackhawks45c144.44$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Blackhawks47c122.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1813655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe71c…a272backed Blackhawks43c112.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266a…17ebbacked Kraken58c112.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Kraken19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+70.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kraken57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5750857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Kraken17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5750049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blackhawks42c98.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9fe9…e00ebacked Kraken59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8fa…23f4backed Kraken58c79.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.93363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blackhawks42c72.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d1…f78fbacked Kraken58c72.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.841442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Kraken55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Blackhawks66c69.03$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.712748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b3…cba5backed Blackhawks43c66.84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84a…f5afbacked Blackhawks48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Kraken53c62.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.045633.9%19 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5781…95a2backed Kraken57c60.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Blackhawks42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.619347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe716…bff0backed Kraken56c58.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66f3…6c63backed Blackhawks40c57.74$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blackhawks47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1919438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Kraken58c52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9827…b2a8backed Blackhawks44c50.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.255100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Blackhawks43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.56752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x487a…f25bbacked Blackhawks44c48.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Kraken30c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.428542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Blackhawks45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4419057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b22…e36dbacked Kraken57c44.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252450%12 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…798bbacked Kraken58c43.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.473551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc19e…90b7backed Kraken57c42.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x792a…d94dbacked Blackhawks43c42.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05f…6e07backed Blackhawks43c41.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0468…613fbacked Kraken56c41.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6e…2630backed Kraken57c41.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ce…395dbacked Kraken57c40.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a03…cf0abacked Blackhawks43c40.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc232…6993backed Blackhawks43c40.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa10e…80d3backed Kraken56c40.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc9…5226backed Blackhawks44c40.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.594100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e3b…e7c4backed Kraken58c40.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc6…7496backed Blackhawks42c40.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0846…2f0ebacked Blackhawks42c40.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7161…1a8ebacked Kraken56c39.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc7d…2f23backed Blackhawks44c39.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…ce6dbacked Kraken57c39.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d49…1d32backed Blackhawks43c39.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe94…2953backed Blackhawks43c39.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b0…bddabacked Kraken57c38.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.69785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcab…28fdbacked Blackhawks43c37.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+167.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98af…96b7backed Blackhawks38c36.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x616d…9145backed Blackhawks44c36.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5740…c8f2backed Kraken57c36.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6950…2fa4backed Kraken56c36.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x541d…e0e3backed Blackhawks44c36.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x580e…2807backed Kraken58c36.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…76d2backed Blackhawks42c36.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd450…4177backed Blackhawks44c35.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff3e…74e8backed Blackhawks43c35.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c9…6cb5backed Kraken56c35.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4cf…15c0backed Blackhawks44c34.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e93…ad7bbacked Kraken56c34.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b8…3790backed Kraken58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c1…a7cbbacked Kraken58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204571.1%32 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Kraken58c34.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…314dbacked Kraken56c33.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa62…a7f8backed Kraken57c32.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede6…3519backed Blackhawks43c32.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c4…d727backed Kraken57c32.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks41c32.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.171,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2000…5e79backed Kraken58c32.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9797…4e3dbacked Kraken62c32.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203961.5%24 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f7…0bfdbacked Kraken58c31.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.