NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01f41d050a19d0faf4c2e138a2a70bcf979f4b99ac474f41de85d5e18614a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bucks, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $504,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $546,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bucks | 34c | 88,168$30,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,248.13 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Bulls | 46c | 55,753$25,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,106.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Bulls | 65c | 40,467$26,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,055.46 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Bucks | 58c | 39,108$22,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,742.82 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Bucks | 54c | 19,784$10,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,683.25 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls | 37c | 16,538$6,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,418.88 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Bulls | 50c | 16,406$8,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.68 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…e638backed Bulls | 45c | 9,998$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4a…5550backed Bucks | 55c | 9,998$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Bulls | 76c | 9,241$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.39 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 43c | 8,000$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Bulls | 51c | 7,553$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.92 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…135cbacked Bucks | 76c | 6,537$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Bucks | 55c | 5,562$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Bucks | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 55c | 5,000$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls | 53c | 3,609$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.43 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Bulls | 65c | 3,500$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.25 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Bucks | 44c | 3,369$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.82 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Bucks | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Bucks | 46c | 2,358$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.74 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 45c | 2,220$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.97 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 37c | 2,218$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.14 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Bucks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…78e8backed Bucks | 9c | 1,818$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bulls | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Bucks | 54c | 1,733$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.8 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Bulls | 43c | 1,680$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.86 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 44c | 1,627$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Bucks | 56c | 1,500$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.2 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Bucks | 54c | 1,489$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.82 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Bucks | 45c | 1,437$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bucks | 21c | 1,212$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…ea54backed Bucks | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2758…66e1backed Bulls | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Bucks | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Bulls | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bulls | 44c | 999.96$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Bucks | 58c | 996.22$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.98 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Bucks | 61c | 975.39$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks | 38c | 914.19$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.59 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…2a10backed Bucks | 56c | 891.79$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Bucks | 57c | 877.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…ad5bbacked Bucks | 55c | 832.73$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 39c | 822.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.82 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…3e00backed Bulls | 42c | 800$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Bulls | 65c | 764.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 36c | 725.61$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Bucks | 40c | 700$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bucks | 55c | 696.86$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.27 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bulls | 76c | 693.8$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.49 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 46c | 656.29$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.96 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Bulls | 47c | 655.29$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.29 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Bucks | 26c | 649.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls | 47c | 608.75$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.58 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Bucks | 58c | 539$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.28 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Bucks | 37c | 510.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks | 52c | 505.75$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.39 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Bucks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 54c | 499.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Bucks | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Bucks | 64c | 433.85$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 3c | 421.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Bucks | 55c | 418.16$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Bulls | 64c | 416.67$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Bucks | 49c | 415.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Bulls | 36c | 412.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Bucks | 56c | 409.61$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Bucks | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Bucks | 55c | 402$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.14 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Bulls | 37c | 385.65$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.96 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Bulls | 69c | 372.57$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Bucks | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bucks | 57c | 351.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Bucks | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ca…a4b4backed Bucks | 43c | 328.7$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls | 46c | 325$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Bucks | 54c | 315.73$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Bucks | 54c | 313$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bucks | 36c | 302.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Bucks | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 46c | 300$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Bucks | 52c | 299.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.65 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Bulls | 50c | 295$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.05 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Bulls | 45c | 287.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bulls | 74c | 286.92$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…b2a3backed Bucks | 60c | 285.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…7f3cbacked Bulls | 37c | 285$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Bulls | 39c | 282.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bucks | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bucks | 57c | 250$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Bucks | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 54c | 248$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Bucks | 26c | 245$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Bulls | 46c | 236.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.