NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e6ad5f22c7a69dc4653a720ce2b65a55013f1a2549a19bc9307fdba68535f9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Bucks | 71c | 22,132$15,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,526.72 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Raptors | 30c | 19,236$5,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.86 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Raptors | 0c | 16,140$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 17c | 9,384$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 3c | 7,468$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.04 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 28c | 7,093$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.15 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 27c | 5,633$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.82 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bucks | 67c | 4,848$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.96 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Bucks | 70c | 4,833$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.43 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Raptors | 31c | 4,063$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 26c | 4,050$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.39 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Raptors | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors | 0c | 4,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 14c | 3,950$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bucks | 68c | 3,715$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.75 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 31c | 3,050$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 29c | 2,975$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.97 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 1c | 2,571$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Raptors | 19c | 2,302$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.32 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Raptors | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…6261backed Raptors | 15c | 1,780$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Raptors | 27c | 1,675$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.8 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…11d0backed Raptors | 28c | 1,664$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 30c | 1,500$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.92 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 71c | 1,408$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.24 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Bucks | 72c | 1,384$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.45 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…efefbacked Bucks | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Raptors | 31c | 1,316$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.87 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Bucks | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Bucks | 73c | 1,204$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed Raptors | 27c | 1,192$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Raptors | 14c | 1,190$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.62 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Bucks | 61c | 1,129$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.12 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Raptors | 28c | 1,072$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bucks | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 72c | 999.97$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…1f3fbacked Raptors | 30c | 989.33$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…d2c2backed Bucks | 71c | 988.17$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Bucks | 71c | 949.98$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Raptors | 13c | 947.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Bucks | 73c | 901$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Bucks | 70c | 862.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.09 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors | 28c | 853.72$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.93 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors | 31c | 811.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed Bucks | 80c | 804.58$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors | 2c | 797.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Bucks | 73c | 776$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Bucks | 73c | 714.91$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.91 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe353…c76abacked Bucks | 70c | 701.59$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Bucks | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Raptors | 25c | 693.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Bucks | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Bucks | 80c | 617.45$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Raptors | 28c | 607.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Bucks | 72c | 599.52$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bucks | 69c | 594.97$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.44 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…81dfbacked Bucks | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Raptors | 28c | 509$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raptors | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Raptors | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Bucks | 73c | 480.69$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 71c | 473.16$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.29 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Raptors | 32c | 463.6$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Raptors | 26c | 450.84$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked Bucks | 72c | 449.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Bucks | 69c | 429$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d9…3bf4backed Bucks | 73c | 423.36$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…552abacked Bucks | 73c | 410.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Bucks | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Bucks | 72c | 402.54$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Bucks | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Raptors | 27c | 399.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Bucks | 74c | 391.03$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Bucks | 73c | 375$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked Raptors | 19c | 372.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Raptors | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…82b5backed Bucks | 74c | 354.46$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Raptors | 27c | 346.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…418fbacked Raptors | 28c | 340$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e91…359abacked Bucks | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4a…ad65backed Bucks | 69c | 335$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5f…e9babacked Bucks | 74c | 324.32$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Bucks | 69c | 306.2$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Bucks | 71c | 300$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Bucks | 70c | 300$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…461abacked Bucks | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…5516backed Raptors | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bucks | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…b459backed Bucks | 70c | 298.89$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Raptors | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Bucks | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48a3…2e01backed Bucks | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…1669backed Bucks | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…beefbacked Bucks | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.