Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs. HEROIC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x725ba51732db356e292e6097e24c4fa5702389096e05a829af9136b32d1e7a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROICof Tundra Esports, HEROIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed HEROIC | 63c | 11,560$7,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.18 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 7,432$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.35 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 6,541$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.27 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0f…23b1backed Tundra Esports | 18c | 5,600$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed HEROIC | 33c | 4,726$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.49 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 4,500$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed HEROIC | 34c | 3,671$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed HEROIC | 64c | 3,483$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.38 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked HEROIC | 35c | 3,325$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.34 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…af41backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 2,500$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 2,493$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.54 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed HEROIC | 33c | 2,344$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.31 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed HEROIC | 51c | 2,295$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed HEROIC | 42c | 2,147$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed HEROIC | 35c | 2,116$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked HEROIC | 44c | 1,666$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.99 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,604$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,571$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.68 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed HEROIC | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,351$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.58 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed HEROIC | 31c | 1,208$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.77 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,206$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,202$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 1,070$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.72 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked HEROIC | 63c | 1,010$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.58 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed HEROIC | 64c | 939.18$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.44 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…8c66backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 832.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 758$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.28 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked HEROIC | 32c | 725$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 725$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…f574backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 689.12$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed HEROIC | 35c | 604.92$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed HEROIC | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked HEROIC | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 540.22$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.14 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked HEROIC | 34c | 511.18$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 505.25$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.26 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 489$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…b98dbacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 472.74$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.49 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked HEROIC | 77c | 411.6$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…1e97backed HEROIC | 64c | 403.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked HEROIC | 39c | 382.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.21 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 359.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed HEROIC | 37c | 354.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.96 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked HEROIC | 60c | 337.95$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…b87dbacked HEROIC | 64c | 310.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed HEROIC | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed HEROIC | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed HEROIC | 33c | 299.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…6754backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 263.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…312dbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 250.22$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 212.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 204.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked HEROIC | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Tundra Esports | 22c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…8032backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 185.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…6f29backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 182.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked HEROIC | 51c | 178.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca50…7aa5backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 166.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed HEROIC | 63c | 162$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 151.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…bbcebacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…cca1backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed HEROIC | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2297…439cbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 146.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…64cfbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 145.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…1f8cbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…5a0dbacked HEROIC | 57c | 140.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed HEROIC | 39c | 136.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked HEROIC | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 108$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…1617backed HEROIC | 61c | 105.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…aa1ebacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 103.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…5091backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 102$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7b…78a1backed HEROIC | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…270cbacked HEROIC | 62c | 96.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed HEROIC | 34c | 96.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…0764backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 83.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…1d9bbacked HEROIC | 65c | 81.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…289ebacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…4f48backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…136bbacked HEROIC | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…e505backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…ba20backed HEROIC | 62c | 66.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed HEROIC | 37c | 63.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…9ed2backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 61.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…ca19backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.