TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$701,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$877,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa028…8849backed Yes54c80,303$43,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,879.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea0f…23b1backed Yes32c50,200$16,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,1341827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed No42c25,854$10,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,833.2122848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No49c18,276$8,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,929.3255751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No40c15,145$5,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,992.658845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed No46c14,775$6,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,783.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed Yes55c11,857$6,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,296.743748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Yes52c10,850$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.5114251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed Yes59c8,975$5,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.565135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes37c8,839$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,560.9916232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No21c8,737$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd23d…f322backed Yes70c8,523$5,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.475459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde2c…587bbacked Yes52c8,449$4,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,016.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-72.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed Yes60c8,346$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,346.42483.3%20 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes59c7,458$4,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.8439936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Yes52c5,773$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,773.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yes54c5,389$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed No43c5,301$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.82857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1a…6e7fbacked Yes58c5,162$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes56c4,922$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.3420350.7%103 W · 100 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No42c4,652$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.1710941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40bb…5a60backed No44c4,541$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yes47c4,294$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.341,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Yes58c4,125$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.1815852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684f…af41backed Yes36c4,114$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.621442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d1…8ce8backed No45c3,784$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes52c3,687$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.538223.2%19 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Yes60c3,686$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.2412755.1%70 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32a…504cbacked Yes57c3,684$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes54c3,640$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.0548539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked No46c3,542$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.6610048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No49c3,406$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5a…34d2backed Yes60c3,334$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Yes47c3,290$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.74540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd30b…8a94backed Yes66c3,100$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d1…2bb3backed Yes52c3,074$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.917248.3%83 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Yes46c3,058$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.954245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20b…012fbacked No6c2,902$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0286…f61dbacked Yes53c2,895$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.133542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No57c2,743$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.5377941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes48c2,256$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+81.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Yes57c2,245$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.495642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6beb…389fbacked Yes52c2,150$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.491283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34ff…5007backed Yes34c2,095$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed No44c2,004$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.113023.3%7 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ac…c7b0backed Yes47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f6…4c4fbacked No52c1,923$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes57c1,900$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.9953652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No43c1,860$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.5325348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a2…7e3ebacked Yes57c1,779$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.8612248.4%59 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Yes32c1,695$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.296460.9%39 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1269…7665backed Yes61c1,676$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b79…b838backed Yes60c1,649$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.471931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No51c1,635$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes59c1,633$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.3233850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x723d…fe66backed Yes55c1,615$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a7…05d3backed Yes66c1,564$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Yes51c1,544$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.323746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…33a3backed No46c1,533$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7beb…70aebacked No42c1,487$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Yes46c1,447$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.4938653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Yes46c1,333$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4764149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes44c1,309$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.4519743.1%85 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf454…7eccbacked Yes36c1,300$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7116…b487backed Yes57c1,300$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5593050%15 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes79c1,290$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.5719246.4%89 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…333cbacked Yes16c1,263$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+110.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb633…0dd5backed Yes58c1,182$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3963…1689backed Yes39c1,182$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+206.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes42c1,178$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.224856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d22…a550backed Yes77c1,170$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2d…722cbacked Yes57c1,086$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9561057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Yes56c1,012$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.6458152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d4…ec2ebacked No64c1,011$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15b1…33aabacked Yes26c1,010$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.4119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Yes47c989.16$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.219555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ea…fe5bbacked Yes53c971.61$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c0…8086backed Yes70c949.6$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…2e1ebacked Yes59c949.25$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+124.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a1…c0dabacked Yes18c941.5$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.982429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac0…7fe9backed No47c933.7$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7637…de5dbacked Yes52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes64c881.47$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.6755251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4770…42f9backed Yes53c877.79$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed Yes62c850$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x331a…ff18backed Yes39c835.67$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.681526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Yes50c825.17$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.581435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a8…8b53backed Yes61c818.69$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes52c814.89$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-67.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ea4…345cbacked Yes55c812.4$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cd…737bbacked Yes54c811.11$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3353…b948backed Yes53c778.77$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.77520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca7…5575backed Yes45c749.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Yes52c749.51$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.295928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38cb…2752backed Yes41c737.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.48825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9b7…f46dbacked Yes59c727.05$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…3af4backed No52c719.23$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.