Dota2 · resolved market

Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e250ca9e668acc1670490a61809f56711cfaefe7458bdebdf7e6550b142389f

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 14, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,242 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0431…6088backed Yes	22c	8,101$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	34cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4992…6f5cbacked No	80c	5,851$4,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,178.8	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	63cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes	19c	1,680$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.16	82	23.2%19 W · 63 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed Yes	30c	1,463$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.64	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc774…2555backed Yes	69c	1,364$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes	18c	1,220$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.7	807	42.6%344 W · 463 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c54…b1d6backed Yes	27c	1,189$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15b1…33aabacked Yes	16c	1,141$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.97	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-65%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x993b…dedabacked Yes	31c	1,128$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f0…2e0cbacked Yes	41c	1,027$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53b…c83abacked Yes	39c	1,009$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	16c	998.78$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.18	74	24.3%18 W · 56 L	-6.5wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	23c	973.84$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223	127	51.2%65 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…b717backed No	76c	800$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes	21c	783.16$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.57	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5d…0774backed Yes	27c	740.54$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c6…ae62backed No	79c	679.78$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.23	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5a1…c0dabacked Yes	13c	656.04$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.75	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Yes	16c	647.58$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.37	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes	25c	636.72$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.94	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38cb…2752backed Yes	35c	579.66$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes	24c	500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…2c44backed Yes	20c	465.22$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.19	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d50…1baebacked Yes	10c	464.44$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.4	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…efcfbacked No	80c	441.04$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.16	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	8c	439.33$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.64	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7250…5468backed No	66c	438.46$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.32	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b7…f46dbacked Yes	27c	400$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked Yes	28c	387.51$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.9	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b79…b838backed Yes	27c	374.38$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.69	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76af…f17ebacked Yes	27c	372.72$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.13	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ac…c7b0backed Yes	14c	363.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	27c	354.82$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.11	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked No	71c	310.59$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.59	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46b2…14f3backed Yes	31c	289.98$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.89	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7116…b487backed Yes	16c	274.24$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.88	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d4…ec2ebacked No	73c	273.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.98	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b7…4947backed Yes	25c	271.27$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	27c	271.17$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.04	616	9.7%60 W · 556 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…b532backed Yes	42c	256.81$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5b…cb7ebacked Yes	17c	250$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-75%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4592…bab3backed Yes	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b7…fd5ebacked Yes	25c	232$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes	46c	195.79$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	203	50.7%103 W · 100 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	31c	195.63$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb718…dde1backed Yes	16c	190$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1962…370dbacked Yes	28c	186.9$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x331a…ff18backed Yes	27c	185.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.82	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbeb3…4fbcbacked Yes	39c	184.27$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb482…fbc7backed Yes	25c	180.64$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Yes	12c	175$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1b…7552backed No	65c	154.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.31	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed No	76c	153.9$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.4	641	49.9%320 W · 321 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69a7…05d3backed Yes	23c	145.47$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.46	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5a…5787backed Yes	18c	120$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5da5…e620backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9738…4401backed Yes	34c	111.93$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.18	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-36%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf06b…ac7abacked Yes	44c	102.73$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd0…0e01backed No	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x960c…e052backed Yes	34c	99.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+33%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea3…1c07backed Yes	21c	95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-56%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7080…f00ebacked Yes	13c	93.92$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f3…ef63backed Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17a0…8393backed Yes	40c	82.47$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked Yes	26c	80.19$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.85	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Yes	26c	77.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x313e…c4a3backed Yes	26c	76.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f9a…8ecebacked No	79c	75.5$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes	20c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	485	39.2%190 W · 295 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae7…65a6backed Yes	29c	59.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe99c…aff1backed Yes	22c	58.14$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874d…9ed2backed No	69c	57.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.97	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f7…3e76backed Yes	40c	55$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e8…f7f0backed Yes	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa852…e6cdbacked Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c5…b577backed Yes	49c	40.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae1…7dddbacked No	80c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	26	76.9%20 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	68cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c41…d14ebacked Yes	28c	38.79$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed No	77c	36$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.28	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd791…4778backed No	71c	26.18$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed No	79c	25.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.46	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e2…6d83backed Yes	44c	25.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c55…88e4backed Yes	53c	24.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament?this page
Will Aurora Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Will BetBoom Team win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Will Gaimin Gladiators win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Will HEROIC win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Will Natus Vincere win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Will Nigma Galaxy win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?Yes won
Will Team Liquid win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Will Team Nemesis win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Will Team Spirit win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Will Team Tidebound win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Will Tundra Esports win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event