Dota2 · resolved market
Will Team Spirit win The International 2025 Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf848bb1b0a68ff5cbae29df83138abedcd47b8990f0ffbe25790457ef9e8322d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 8,207$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 68c | 1,800$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…0dd5backed Yes | 37c | 1,372$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…c0dabacked Yes | 10c | 1,320$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed No | 72c | 1,301$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.86 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 41c | 1,210$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…c09fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed No | 73c | 1,000$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 26c | 991.15$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…b948backed Yes | 35c | 989.69$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 69c | 828.75$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…890fbacked Yes | 3c | 558.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…bb98backed Yes | 22c | 451.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed No | 65c | 434.29$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ba…c1b0backed Yes | 52c | 381.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Yes | 22c | 323$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…f4c1backed Yes | 31c | 319.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed No | 68c | 302.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 64c | 268.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yes | 16c | 219.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…4a00backed Yes | 24c | 209.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 26c | 162.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 12c | 160.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6649…3e3cbacked Yes | 33c | 152.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c74…8cf1backed Yes | 34c | 140$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…ba20backed Yes | 9c | 138$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0e…78afbacked Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Yes | 21c | 109.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…28dbbacked No | 71c | 105.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…c867backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 15c | 99.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed No | 80c | 91.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1f…81a1backed Yes | 35c | 77.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…e33abacked No | 73c | 75.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…b577backed Yes | 23c | 64.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 29c | 63.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Yes | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 26c | 61.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf06…a211backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…ae98backed Yes | 30c | 38.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6907…1c8fbacked Yes | 37c | 36.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…66fbbacked Yes | 35c | 31.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…e4d1backed Yes | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Spirit win The International 2025 Tournament?this page
- Will Aurora Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will BetBoom Team win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Gaimin Gladiators win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will HEROIC win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Nigma Galaxy win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?Yes won
- Will Team Liquid win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Team Nemesis win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Team Tidebound win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Tundra Esports win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.